Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $60B–$70B closing market cap at 44.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' ($CBRS) Nasdaq debut on May 14, reflecting surging AI chip demand that drove IPO pricing to $185 per share—above the $150–$160 marketed range—for a fully diluted $56.4B valuation and $5.55B raise. This follows rapid upsizing from initial $26.6B targets amid 20x oversubscription, fueled by 76% 2025 revenue growth to $510M, GAAP profitability, and hyperscaler deals including OpenAI's $20B+ compute commitment and prospective AWS adoption. Rejection of pre-IPO acquisition bids from Arm Holdings and SoftBank underscores strategic positioning as a Nvidia challenger, though first-day volatility hinges on trading volume and broader AI sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$60B–$70B 45%
$50B–$60B 18%
$70B–$80B 15%
$80B–$90B 12.3%
$90,199 Vol.
$90,199 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$50B
8%
$50B–$60B
18%
$60B–$70B
45%
$70B–$80B
15%
$80B–$90B
16%
$90B–$100B
9%
$100B+
6%
No IPO before July 2026
<1%
$60B–$70B 45%
$50B–$60B 18%
$70B–$80B 15%
$80B–$90B 12.3%
$90,199 Vol.
$90,199 Vol.
May 14, 2026
<$50B
$27,480 Vol.
8%
$50B–$60B
$13,416 Vol.
18%
$60B–$70B
$8,711 Vol.
45%
$70B–$80B
$8,217 Vol.
15%
$80B–$90B
$4,213 Vol.
16%
$90B–$100B
$9,048 Vol.
9%
$100B+
$9,108 Vol.
6%
No IPO before July 2026
$10,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $60B–$70B closing market cap at 44.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' ($CBRS) Nasdaq debut on May 14, reflecting surging AI chip demand that drove IPO pricing to $185 per share—above the $150–$160 marketed range—for a fully diluted $56.4B valuation and $5.55B raise. This follows rapid upsizing from initial $26.6B targets amid 20x oversubscription, fueled by 76% 2025 revenue growth to $510M, GAAP profitability, and hyperscaler deals including OpenAI's $20B+ compute commitment and prospective AWS adoption. Rejection of pre-IPO acquisition bids from Arm Holdings and SoftBank underscores strategic positioning as a Nvidia challenger, though first-day volatility hinges on trading volume and broader AI sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$90,199End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $60B–$70B closing market cap at 44.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' ($CBRS) Nasdaq debut on May 14, reflecting surging AI chip demand that drove IPO pricing to $185 per share—above the $150–$160 marketed range—for a fully diluted $56.4B valuation and $5.55B raise. This follows rapid upsizing from initial $26.6B targets amid 20x oversubscription, fueled by 76% 2025 revenue growth to $510M, GAAP profitability, and hyperscaler deals including OpenAI's $20B+ compute commitment and prospective AWS adoption. Rejection of pre-IPO acquisition bids from Arm Holdings and SoftBank underscores strategic positioning as a Nvidia challenger, though first-day volatility hinges on trading volume and broader AI sentiment.
This market will resolve based on Cerebras Systems' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on May 14 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before July 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$90,199End Date
May 14, 2026Market Opened
May 11, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a $60B–$70B closing market cap at 44.5% implied probability for Cerebras Systems' ($CBRS) Nasdaq debut on May 14, reflecting surging AI chip demand that drove IPO pricing to $185 per share—above the $150–$160 marketed range—for a fully diluted $56.4B valuation and $5.55B raise. This follows rapid upsizing from initial $26.6B targets amid 20x oversubscription, fueled by 76% 2025 revenue growth to $510M, GAAP profitability, and hyperscaler deals including OpenAI's $20B+ compute commitment and prospective AWS adoption. Rejection of pre-IPO acquisition bids from Arm Holdings and SoftBank underscores strategic positioning as a Nvidia challenger, though first-day volatility hinges on trading volume and broader AI sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions