Trader sentiment on Figure's F.03 humanoid robots' failure-free runtime remains evenly distributed at 50% across all outcomes, underscoring high uncertainty following the company's May 13 livestream of an 8-hour fully autonomous endurance test. Prompted by robotics veteran challenges, CEO Brett Adcock demonstrated F.03 units sorting warehouse packages at human speeds via the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, building on prior BMW deployments where predecessor F.02 logged 1,250+ active hours. With 5-hour battery life extended by 2kW wireless charging, traders await detailed logs on fault recovery, interventions, or halts amid competitive pressures from Tesla Optimus and Agility Robotics' Digit. Key differentiators include Figure's 24x production ramp to 1 robot/hour and real-world failure data flywheel enhancing MTBF. Test resolution could swing odds decisively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8-50h 50%
100-200h 50%
200h+ 49%
50-100h 48%
NEW
NEW
May 21, 2026
<8h
8%
8-50h
50%
50-100h
48%
100-200h
50%
200h+
49%
8-50h 50%
100-200h 50%
200h+ 49%
50-100h 48%
NEW
NEW
May 21, 2026
<8h
$129 Vol.
8%
8-50h
$0 Vol.
50%
50-100h
$0 Vol.
48%
100-200h
$0 Vol.
50%
200h+
$0 Vol.
49%
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Figure's F.03 humanoid robots' failure-free runtime remains evenly distributed at 50% across all outcomes, underscoring high uncertainty following the company's May 13 livestream of an 8-hour fully autonomous endurance test. Prompted by robotics veteran challenges, CEO Brett Adcock demonstrated F.03 units sorting warehouse packages at human speeds via the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, building on prior BMW deployments where predecessor F.02 logged 1,250+ active hours. With 5-hour battery life extended by 2kW wireless charging, traders await detailed logs on fault recovery, interventions, or halts amid competitive pressures from Tesla Optimus and Agility Robotics' Digit. Key differentiators include Figure's 24x production ramp to 1 robot/hour and real-world failure data flywheel enhancing MTBF. Test resolution could swing odds decisively.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$129End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Figure's F.03 humanoid robots' failure-free runtime remains evenly distributed at 50% across all outcomes, underscoring high uncertainty following the company's May 13 livestream of an 8-hour fully autonomous endurance test. Prompted by robotics veteran challenges, CEO Brett Adcock demonstrated F.03 units sorting warehouse packages at human speeds via the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, building on prior BMW deployments where predecessor F.02 logged 1,250+ active hours. With 5-hour battery life extended by 2kW wireless charging, traders await detailed logs on fault recovery, interventions, or halts amid competitive pressures from Tesla Optimus and Agility Robotics' Digit. Key differentiators include Figure's 24x production ramp to 1 robot/hour and real-world failure data flywheel enhancing MTBF. Test resolution could swing odds decisively.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129End Date
May 21, 2026Market Opened
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Figure's F.03 humanoid robots' failure-free runtime remains evenly distributed at 50% across all outcomes, underscoring high uncertainty following the company's May 13 livestream of an 8-hour fully autonomous endurance test. Prompted by robotics veteran challenges, CEO Brett Adcock demonstrated F.03 units sorting warehouse packages at human speeds via the Helix-02 vision-language-action model, building on prior BMW deployments where predecessor F.02 logged 1,250+ active hours. With 5-hour battery life extended by 2kW wireless charging, traders await detailed logs on fault recovery, interventions, or halts amid competitive pressures from Tesla Optimus and Agility Robotics' Digit. Key differentiators include Figure's 24x production ramp to 1 robot/hour and real-world failure data flywheel enhancing MTBF. Test resolution could swing odds decisively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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