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Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria

icon for Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria
Politics·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria

Rumen Radev 97.2%

Nikolai Denkov 3.7%

Andrey Gyurov 1.3%

Krum Zarkov 1.2%

Polymarket

$439,319 Vol.

Rumen Radev 97.2%

Nikolai Denkov 3.7%

Andrey Gyurov 1.3%

Krum Zarkov 1.2%

Polymarket

$439,319 Vol.

icon for Rumen Radev

Rumen Radev

$220,833 Vol.

97%

icon for Nikolai Denkov

Nikolai Denkov

$13,272 Vol.

4%

icon for Andrey Gyurov

Andrey Gyurov

$38,609 Vol.

1%

icon for Krum Zarkov

Krum Zarkov

$18,325 Vol.

1%

icon for Boyko Borissov

Boyko Borissov

$49,463 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosen Zhelyazkov

Rosen Zhelyazkov

$16,621 Vol.

1%

icon for Assen Vassilev

Assen Vassilev

$17,293 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dimitar Glavchev

Dimitar Glavchev

$37,431 Vol.

<1%

icon for Delyan Peevski

Delyan Peevski

$12,947 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kostadin Kostadinov

Kostadin Kostadinov

$14,526 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rumen Radev's commanding 97% implied probability as Bulgaria's next prime minister stems from his Progressive Bulgaria party's landslide victory in the April 19 parliamentary snap election, securing an absolute majority of about 130 seats in the 240-member National Assembly. This outcome, confirmed in official results shortly after polls closed, ends five years of political gridlock marked by seven prior elections, caretaker governments, and failed coalitions following mass protests that ousted Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov late last year. As leader of the largest bloc, Radev holds the first exploratory mandate from the president to nominate and form a majority government, virtually assured passage in a vote expected soon. Rare challenges could arise from unprecedented parliamentary defection, legal disputes over election results, or a late-breaking scandal, though none have emerged.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$439,319
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rumen Radev's commanding 97% implied probability as Bulgaria's next prime minister stems from his Progressive Bulgaria party's landslide victory in the April 19 parliamentary snap election, securing an absolute majority of about 130 seats in the 240-member National Assembly. This outcome, confirmed in official results shortly after polls closed, ends five years of political gridlock marked by seven prior elections, caretaker governments, and failed coalitions following mass protests that ousted Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov late last year. As leader of the largest bloc, Radev holds the first exploratory mandate from the president to nominate and form a majority government, virtually assured passage in a vote expected soon. Rare challenges could arise from unprecedented parliamentary defection, legal disputes over election results, or a late-breaking scandal, though none have emerged.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$439,319
End Date
Apr 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rumen Radev" at 97%, followed by "Nikolai Denkov" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" has generated $439.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" is "Rumen Radev" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nikolai Denkov" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Bulgaria" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.