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Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Greg Hull 65%

Duke Rodriguez 21%

John Sanchez 2.7%

Brian Cillessen 1.7%

Polymarket

$821,772 Vol.

Greg Hull 65%

Duke Rodriguez 21%

John Sanchez 2.7%

Brian Cillessen 1.7%

Polymarket

$821,772 Vol.

Greg Hull

$128,804 Vol.

65%

Duke Rodriguez

$14,086 Vol.

21%

John Sanchez

$2,884 Vol.

3%

Brian Cillessen

$3,363 Vol.

2%

Doug Turner

$1,067 Vol.

1%

Steve Lanier

$648,008 Vol.

1%

Susana Martinez

$9,336 Vol.

1%

Belinda Robertson

$5,095 Vol.

<1%

Mark Murphy

$2,914 Vol.

<1%

Judith Nakamura

$6,214 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability to win New Mexico's June 2 Republican gubernatorial primary, buoyed by his early edge in the April Emerson College poll (21% support among likely voters, ahead of Duke Rodriguez at 10% and Doug Turner at 9%, with 60% undecided) and commanding performance at the March GOP pre-primary convention where he topped the field among delegates. Hull's tenure as outgoing Rio Rancho mayor, amid recent local Republican overperformance, bolsters his executive credentials and momentum on issues like crime and economy highlighted in recent forums. Rodriguez, a former cabinet secretary, draws 23% on business experience and visibility from a recent court ruling favoring his challenge to state universal childcare, though high undecideds leave room for shifts ahead of the May 19 KRQE debate among the top three.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$821,772
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Gregg Hull leads trader consensus at 64% implied probability to win New Mexico's June 2 Republican gubernatorial primary, buoyed by his early edge in the April Emerson College poll (21% support among likely voters, ahead of Duke Rodriguez at 10% and Doug Turner at 9%, with 60% undecided) and commanding performance at the March GOP pre-primary convention where he topped the field among delegates. Hull's tenure as outgoing Rio Rancho mayor, amid recent local Republican overperformance, bolsters his executive credentials and momentum on issues like crime and economy highlighted in recent forums. Rodriguez, a former cabinet secretary, draws 23% on business experience and visibility from a recent court ruling favoring his challenge to state universal childcare, though high undecideds leave room for shifts ahead of the May 19 KRQE debate among the top three.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$821,772
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Greg Hull" at 65%, followed by "Duke Rodriguez" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $821.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Greg Hull" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Duke Rodriguez" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.