Mahmoud Abbas, aged 90 and in his 21st year as Palestinian Authority president without fresh elections since 2005, faces persistent domestic pressure for a leadership transition amid Fatah factionalism and low public approval. In October 2025 he issued a decree designating PLO vice president Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor upon any vacancy, following his April 2025 appointment to that role and an earlier caretaker nomination for Rawhi Fattouh. Abbas underwent routine medical tests in January 2026 with reassuring results and was unanimously re-elected Fatah leader in May 2026 internal votes. These steps have clarified an institutional path while reinforcing his personal control, limiting near-term catalysts for departure absent sudden health developments or external diplomatic leverage. Traders weigh his longevity against the absence of scheduled presidential polls or binding term limits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?
$129,078 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
6%
December 31
27%
$129,078 Vol.
June 30
$83,017 Vol.
6%
December 31
$46,061 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, aged 90 and in his 21st year as Palestinian Authority president without fresh elections since 2005, faces persistent domestic pressure for a leadership transition amid Fatah factionalism and low public approval. In October 2025 he issued a decree designating PLO vice president Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor upon any vacancy, following his April 2025 appointment to that role and an earlier caretaker nomination for Rawhi Fattouh. Abbas underwent routine medical tests in January 2026 with reassuring results and was unanimously re-elected Fatah leader in May 2026 internal votes. These steps have clarified an institutional path while reinforcing his personal control, limiting near-term catalysts for departure absent sudden health developments or external diplomatic leverage. Traders weigh his longevity against the absence of scheduled presidential polls or binding term limits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Volume
$129,078End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mahmoud Abbas, aged 90 and in his 21st year as Palestinian Authority president without fresh elections since 2005, faces persistent domestic pressure for a leadership transition amid Fatah factionalism and low public approval. In October 2025 he issued a decree designating PLO vice president Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor upon any vacancy, following his April 2025 appointment to that role and an earlier caretaker nomination for Rawhi Fattouh. Abbas underwent routine medical tests in January 2026 with reassuring results and was unanimously re-elected Fatah leader in May 2026 internal votes. These steps have clarified an institutional path while reinforcing his personal control, limiting near-term catalysts for departure absent sudden health developments or external diplomatic leverage. Traders weigh his longevity against the absence of scheduled presidential polls or binding term limits.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mahmoud Abbas ceases to be President of the Palestinian National Authority for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mahmoud Abbas's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian National Authority; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$129,078End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mahmoud Abbas, aged 90 and in his 21st year as Palestinian Authority president without fresh elections since 2005, faces persistent domestic pressure for a leadership transition amid Fatah factionalism and low public approval. In October 2025 he issued a decree designating PLO vice president Hussein al-Sheikh as interim successor upon any vacancy, following his April 2025 appointment to that role and an earlier caretaker nomination for Rawhi Fattouh. Abbas underwent routine medical tests in January 2026 with reassuring results and was unanimously re-elected Fatah leader in May 2026 internal votes. These steps have clarified an institutional path while reinforcing his personal control, limiting near-term catalysts for departure absent sudden health developments or external diplomatic leverage. Traders weigh his longevity against the absence of scheduled presidential polls or binding term limits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions