NVIDIA commands a 76% implied probability of retaining the world's largest market cap by May 31, propelled by its $4.8–5.1 trillion valuation and dominance in AI accelerators amid surging data center demand from hyperscalers. Traders' consensus reflects NVIDIA's recent solidification as top company, bolstered by AI infrastructure capex projections exceeding $650 billion annually. Alphabet trails at 23%, buoyed by a $420 billion single-day market cap surge yesterday from robust Q1 AI-driven earnings in search and Google Cloud, narrowing the gap to under $300 billion—the closest since February. Apple's Q1 revenue beat offers minor uplift to its 0.8% odds at ~$4 trillion, but others like Broadcom and Tesla languish below 1% given multi-trillion deficits; watch late-May earnings for volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNVIDIA 78.0%
Alphabet 22.7%
Apple <1%
Broadcom <1%
$876,193 Vol.
$876,193 Vol.

NVIDIA
78%

Alphabet
23%

Apple
1%

Broadcom
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%
NVIDIA 78.0%
Alphabet 22.7%
Apple <1%
Broadcom <1%
$876,193 Vol.
$876,193 Vol.

NVIDIA
78%

Alphabet
23%

Apple
1%

Broadcom
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Microsoft
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA commands a 76% implied probability of retaining the world's largest market cap by May 31, propelled by its $4.8–5.1 trillion valuation and dominance in AI accelerators amid surging data center demand from hyperscalers. Traders' consensus reflects NVIDIA's recent solidification as top company, bolstered by AI infrastructure capex projections exceeding $650 billion annually. Alphabet trails at 23%, buoyed by a $420 billion single-day market cap surge yesterday from robust Q1 AI-driven earnings in search and Google Cloud, narrowing the gap to under $300 billion—the closest since February. Apple's Q1 revenue beat offers minor uplift to its 0.8% odds at ~$4 trillion, but others like Broadcom and Tesla languish below 1% given multi-trillion deficits; watch late-May earnings for volatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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