Trader consensus prices "No" at 96.4% on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell facing federal charges by June 30, driven by the U.S. Department of Justice's April 24 announcement closing its criminal probe into alleged cost overruns on Federal Reserve building renovations, with no evidence of wrongdoing found. A federal judge had quashed DOJ subpoenas in March, citing lack of basis, further undermining the inquiry initiated in January amid tensions over Fed independence. Powell's chair term ends mid-May, after which he plans to remain a board governor until 2028, but no new investigations or credible allegations have emerged. Realistic shifts would require fresh DOJ action or Inspector General findings uncovering criminal intent before the deadline, though procedural hurdles and recent closure make this improbable.