Current forecasts for Warsaw on June 15 center on a high near 17°C amid overcast skies, possible thundery showers, and moderate westerly winds, according to BBC, Met Office, and timeanddate guidance. This keeps the 17°C and 18°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud timing or shower intensity can alter peak solar heating by 1°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to persistent cloud cover reducing insolation, while any earlier clearing or drier advection could allow readings to reach 18–19°C. Historical June variability in the region, with typical highs around 22°C but frequent cool, wet episodes, underscores the narrow distribution traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 15 de junio?
18°C 44%
17°C 42%
19°C 8%
16°C 4.3%
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
42%
18°C
44%
19°C
8%
20°C o más
2%
18°C 44%
17°C 42%
19°C 8%
16°C 4.3%
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
42%
18°C
44%
19°C
8%
20°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Warsaw on June 15 center on a high near 17°C amid overcast skies, possible thundery showers, and moderate westerly winds, according to BBC, Met Office, and timeanddate guidance. This keeps the 17°C and 18°C outcomes nearly tied in trader pricing, as small shifts in cloud timing or shower intensity can alter peak solar heating by 1°C. Model consensus shows limited diurnal warming due to persistent cloud cover reducing insolation, while any earlier clearing or drier advection could allow readings to reach 18–19°C. Historical June variability in the region, with typical highs around 22°C but frequent cool, wet episodes, underscores the narrow distribution traders are pricing. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes