Official JMA forecasts project a Tokyo maximum of 21°C on June 15 under rainy, cloudy conditions later in the day, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent moisture from the early tsuyu rainy season and associated cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal normals near 26°C, while limited sunshine and possible showers keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-20s. Ensemble model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 21–22°C, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming; this uncertainty underpins the combined 87.5% probability on the top two bins. Fresh observational data and updated model runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced these cooler expectations, tightening trader sentiment around the official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tokio el 15 de junio?
21°C 50%
22°C 39%
23°C 11%
24°C 1.8%
NUEVO
$68,863 Vol.
NUEVO
$68,863 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
50%
22°C
39%
23°C
11%
24°C
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C o más
1%
21°C 50%
22°C 39%
23°C 11%
24°C 1.8%
NUEVO
$68,863 Vol.
NUEVO
$68,863 Vol.
15 jun 2026
17°C o menos
$3,194 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,949 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$6,761 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$21,505 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,099 Vol.
50%
22°C
$3,433 Vol.
39%
23°C
$4,775 Vol.
11%
24°C
$5,604 Vol.
2%
25°C
$4,283 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,391 Vol.
<1%
27°C o más
$5,892 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts project a Tokyo maximum of 21°C on June 15 under rainy, cloudy conditions later in the day, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent moisture from the early tsuyu rainy season and associated cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal normals near 26°C, while limited sunshine and possible showers keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-20s. Ensemble model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 21–22°C, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming; this uncertainty underpins the combined 87.5% probability on the top two bins. Fresh observational data and updated model runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced these cooler expectations, tightening trader sentiment around the official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$68,863Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts project a Tokyo maximum of 21°C on June 15 under rainy, cloudy conditions later in the day, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent moisture from the early tsuyu rainy season and associated cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal normals near 26°C, while limited sunshine and possible showers keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-20s. Ensemble model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 21–22°C, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming; this uncertainty underpins the combined 87.5% probability on the top two bins. Fresh observational data and updated model runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced these cooler expectations, tightening trader sentiment around the official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$68,863Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official JMA forecasts project a Tokyo maximum of 21°C on June 15 under rainy, cloudy conditions later in the day, aligning with the market’s leading 49% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent moisture from the early tsuyu rainy season and associated cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating relative to seasonal normals near 26°C, while limited sunshine and possible showers keep temperatures from climbing into the mid-20s. Ensemble model consensus supports a narrow range centered on 21–22°C, with only modest upside risk if breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming; this uncertainty underpins the combined 87.5% probability on the top two bins. Fresh observational data and updated model runs over the past 24 hours have reinforced these cooler expectations, tightening trader sentiment around the official guidance ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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