Current forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon bringing extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures. Subtropical maritime air masses from the South China Sea, combined with typical June convective patterns, keep conditions warm but moderated compared to clear-sky climatology of 31–32°C. Multiple models and agencies show isolated heavy rain or overcast skies tomorrow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29–30°C outcomes at over 85% combined implied probability. No significant warming trend or clearing is anticipated in the latest runs, though any reduction in precipitation could briefly allow readings near 31°C. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus from official guidance rather than historical averages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 15?
30°C 51%
29°C 36%
31°C 7.0%
32°C or higher 6.3%
NUEVO
$33,260 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,260 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
36%
30°C
51%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
6%
30°C 51%
29°C 36%
31°C 7.0%
32°C or higher 6.3%
NUEVO
$33,260 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,260 Vol.
15 jun 2026
22°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$735 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,251 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,636 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,194 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,031 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,292 Vol.
6%
29°C
$1,718 Vol.
36%
30°C
$2,839 Vol.
51%
31°C
$3,512 Vol.
7%
32°C or higher
$3,141 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon bringing extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures. Subtropical maritime air masses from the South China Sea, combined with typical June convective patterns, keep conditions warm but moderated compared to clear-sky climatology of 31–32°C. Multiple models and agencies show isolated heavy rain or overcast skies tomorrow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29–30°C outcomes at over 85% combined implied probability. No significant warming trend or clearing is anticipated in the latest runs, though any reduction in precipitation could briefly allow readings near 31°C. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus from official guidance rather than historical averages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$33,260Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon bringing extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures. Subtropical maritime air masses from the South China Sea, combined with typical June convective patterns, keep conditions warm but moderated compared to clear-sky climatology of 31–32°C. Multiple models and agencies show isolated heavy rain or overcast skies tomorrow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29–30°C outcomes at over 85% combined implied probability. No significant warming trend or clearing is anticipated in the latest runs, though any reduction in precipitation could briefly allow readings near 31°C. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus from official guidance rather than historical averages.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,260Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shenzhen on June 15 point to a daily maximum near 28–30°C, driven by the East Asian monsoon bringing extensive cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating and suppress peak temperatures. Subtropical maritime air masses from the South China Sea, combined with typical June convective patterns, keep conditions warm but moderated compared to clear-sky climatology of 31–32°C. Multiple models and agencies show isolated heavy rain or overcast skies tomorrow, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29–30°C outcomes at over 85% combined implied probability. No significant warming trend or clearing is anticipated in the latest runs, though any reduction in precipitation could briefly allow readings near 31°C. Traders appear to be pricing in this consensus from official guidance rather than historical averages.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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