Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a strong upper-level ridge will deliver above-normal warmth to western Washington on June 15, with Sea-Tac Airport forecasts centering on 90–92 °F and a chance to eclipse the 1963 daily record of 88 °F. This setup favors afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, while marine air influence remains limited. Trader positioning, with 88–91 °F bins commanding over 70 % combined implied probability, closely tracks these official projections and historical analogs for similar ridge patterns. Model spread and potential minor timing shifts in the ridge axis introduce modest uncertainty, with new NWS updates expected before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 15 de junio?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 29%
86-87°F 12%
92-93°F 8.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
83°F o menos
1%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
9%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o más
<1%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 29%
86-87°F 12%
92-93°F 8.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
83°F o menos
$596 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$658 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$867 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$758 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$589 Vol.
29%
92-93°F
$695 Vol.
9%
94-95°F
$598 Vol.
3%
96-97°F
$477 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$533 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$219 Vol.
<1%
102°F o más
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a strong upper-level ridge will deliver above-normal warmth to western Washington on June 15, with Sea-Tac Airport forecasts centering on 90–92 °F and a chance to eclipse the 1963 daily record of 88 °F. This setup favors afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, while marine air influence remains limited. Trader positioning, with 88–91 °F bins commanding over 70 % combined implied probability, closely tracks these official projections and historical analogs for similar ridge patterns. Model spread and potential minor timing shifts in the ridge axis introduce modest uncertainty, with new NWS updates expected before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$6,046Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a strong upper-level ridge will deliver above-normal warmth to western Washington on June 15, with Sea-Tac Airport forecasts centering on 90–92 °F and a chance to eclipse the 1963 daily record of 88 °F. This setup favors afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, while marine air influence remains limited. Trader positioning, with 88–91 °F bins commanding over 70 % combined implied probability, closely tracks these official projections and historical analogs for similar ridge patterns. Model spread and potential minor timing shifts in the ridge axis introduce modest uncertainty, with new NWS updates expected before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,046Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a strong upper-level ridge will deliver above-normal warmth to western Washington on June 15, with Sea-Tac Airport forecasts centering on 90–92 °F and a chance to eclipse the 1963 daily record of 88 °F. This setup favors afternoon highs in the upper 80s to low 90s under mostly sunny skies and light winds, while marine air influence remains limited. Trader positioning, with 88–91 °F bins commanding over 70 % combined implied probability, closely tracks these official projections and historical analogs for similar ridge patterns. Model spread and potential minor timing shifts in the ridge axis introduce modest uncertainty, with new NWS updates expected before market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes