Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate San Francisco will reach a daily high in the upper 60s to low 70s on June 5, driven by building onshore flow and partial clearing that favors above-average early-June readings. This aligns with climatological norms near 70°F at KSFO and supports the market-implied 97.8% probability for 66°F or higher. Short-range guidance shows limited downside risk, though stronger marine layer stratus or enhanced sea breezes could moderate peaks. Final resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from the San Francisco International Airport station, with updated model runs expected to refine the outlook ahead of close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 5?
66°F or higher 98.0%
64-65°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
98%
66°F or higher 98.0%
64-65°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance indicate San Francisco will reach a daily high in the upper 60s to low 70s on June 5, driven by building onshore flow and partial clearing that favors above-average early-June readings. This aligns with climatological norms near 70°F at KSFO and supports the market-implied 97.8% probability for 66°F or higher. Short-range guidance shows limited downside risk, though stronger marine layer stratus or enhanced sea breezes could moderate peaks. Final resolution hinges on the official daily maximum from the San Francisco International Airport station, with updated model runs expected to refine the outlook ahead of close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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