National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects San Francisco highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s on June 5 under persistent high pressure and diminished marine-layer stratus, aligning with above-average early-June climatology where typical maxima reach about 69°F at the airport station. This atmospheric setup favors warmer daytime readings and underpins the 97.9% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher. Short-range ensembles show limited spread, though a stronger-than-anticipated onshore flow or thicker coastal stratus could limit readings below the threshold, with final guidance updates expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 5?
66°F or higher 98.4%
64-65°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
98%
66°F or higher 98.4%
64-65°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 jun 2026
47°F or below
$334 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$283 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$297 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$750 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$492 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$526 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$3,830 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$262 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$592 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$841 Vol.
1%
66°F or higher
$1,020 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects San Francisco highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s on June 5 under persistent high pressure and diminished marine-layer stratus, aligning with above-average early-June climatology where typical maxima reach about 69°F at the airport station. This atmospheric setup favors warmer daytime readings and underpins the 97.9% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher. Short-range ensembles show limited spread, though a stronger-than-anticipated onshore flow or thicker coastal stratus could limit readings below the threshold, with final guidance updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$9,228Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects San Francisco highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s on June 5 under persistent high pressure and diminished marine-layer stratus, aligning with above-average early-June climatology where typical maxima reach about 69°F at the airport station. This atmospheric setup favors warmer daytime readings and underpins the 97.9% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher. Short-range ensembles show limited spread, though a stronger-than-anticipated onshore flow or thicker coastal stratus could limit readings below the threshold, with final guidance updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,228Fecha de finalización
5 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus projects San Francisco highs in the upper 60s to mid-70s on June 5 under persistent high pressure and diminished marine-layer stratus, aligning with above-average early-June climatology where typical maxima reach about 69°F at the airport station. This atmospheric setup favors warmer daytime readings and underpins the 97.9% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher. Short-range ensembles show limited spread, though a stronger-than-anticipated onshore flow or thicker coastal stratus could limit readings below the threshold, with final guidance updates expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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