Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum of 26–27°C in Qingdao on June 15, supported by a high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow across the Yellow Sea coast that limits stronger heating. Coastal marine influence typically caps daytime peaks near the June climatological average of 24°C, yet current observations on June 14 showing 23–27°C and limited cloud cover have shifted trader-implied probabilities toward the upper end of the seasonal range. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 15?
27°C 45%
26°C 27%
28°C 12%
29°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
12%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 27%
28°C 12%
29°C 7%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
4%
25°C
5%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
12%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF points to a maximum of 26–27°C in Qingdao on June 15, supported by a high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow across the Yellow Sea coast that limits stronger heating. Coastal marine influence typically caps daytime peaks near the June climatological average of 24°C, yet current observations on June 14 showing 23–27°C and limited cloud cover have shifted trader-implied probabilities toward the upper end of the seasonal range. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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