Recent global and regional model runs indicate a Beijing high near 27–28°C on June 16 under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and possible scattered afternoon showers. This setup anchors the closely matched market-implied odds, as modest differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-June baselines near 29–30°C provide context, yet ensemble spread from moisture advection and urban heat-island effects sustains measurable uncertainty ahead of official station verification by the China Meteorological Administration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on June 16?
27°C 30%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
$15,644 Vol.
$15,644 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
18%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 30%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
29°C 11%
$15,644 Vol.
$15,644 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
18%
27°C
30%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global and regional model runs indicate a Beijing high near 27–28°C on June 16 under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and possible scattered afternoon showers. This setup anchors the closely matched market-implied odds, as modest differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical early-June baselines near 29–30°C provide context, yet ensemble spread from moisture advection and urban heat-island effects sustains measurable uncertainty ahead of official station verification by the China Meteorological Administration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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