Forecast models from the Met Office, BBC Weather, and local sources converge on a maximum of 17–18°C for Amsterdam on June 15 under light cloud cover, a moderate northwesterly breeze, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming anomalies. The market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C (47.5%) and 17°C (34.0%) reflects this consensus, with narrower probabilities on 19°C or 16°C capturing residual model spread and minor timing uncertainties in peak readings. Historical June averages near 19°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors slightly cooler values. Updated official guidance expected overnight will likely confirm or refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 15?
18°C 48%
17°C 34%
19°C 16%
16°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
34%
18°C
48%
19°C
16%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 48%
17°C 34%
19°C 16%
16°C 5%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
5%
17°C
34%
18°C
48%
19°C
16%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Met Office, BBC Weather, and local sources converge on a maximum of 17–18°C for Amsterdam on June 15 under light cloud cover, a moderate northwesterly breeze, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions limit daytime heating while preventing significant cooling or warming anomalies. The market’s heavy weighting toward 18°C (47.5%) and 17°C (34.0%) reflects this consensus, with narrower probabilities on 19°C or 16°C capturing residual model spread and minor timing uncertainties in peak readings. Historical June averages near 19°C provide context, but the current synoptic pattern favors slightly cooler values. Updated official guidance expected overnight will likely confirm or refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes