Incumbent Republican John Rutherford faces a fragmented Democratic primary field in Florida's 5th Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The district, encompassing much of Jacksonville and surrounding areas, has demonstrated a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Recent candidate filings closed on June 12 without producing a high-profile Democratic challenger capable of narrowing the gap. Traders assign an 85.5% probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the district's voting patterns, incumbency advantage, and limited early indicators of a competitive general election contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,738 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$2,722 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Rutherford faces a fragmented Democratic primary field in Florida's 5th Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The district, encompassing much of Jacksonville and surrounding areas, has demonstrated a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Recent candidate filings closed on June 12 without producing a high-profile Democratic challenger capable of narrowing the gap. Traders assign an 85.5% probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the district's voting patterns, incumbency advantage, and limited early indicators of a competitive general election contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$8,461Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Rutherford faces a fragmented Democratic primary field in Florida's 5th Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The district, encompassing much of Jacksonville and surrounding areas, has demonstrated a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Recent candidate filings closed on June 12 without producing a high-profile Democratic challenger capable of narrowing the gap. Traders assign an 85.5% probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the district's voting patterns, incumbency advantage, and limited early indicators of a competitive general election contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,461Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Rutherford faces a fragmented Democratic primary field in Florida's 5th Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. The district, encompassing much of Jacksonville and surrounding areas, has demonstrated a consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, with the seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by nonpartisan forecasters. Recent candidate filings closed on June 12 without producing a high-profile Democratic challenger capable of narrowing the gap. Traders assign an 85.5% probability to a Republican victory, reflecting the district's voting patterns, incumbency advantage, and limited early indicators of a competitive general election contest.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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