Trader consensus clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting his recent posting rhythm of 20-30 per day amid fluctuating engagement on politics, X platform upgrades, and SpaceX teases. After a high of 56 posts on April 27 and 22 on April 28, volume dipped to single digits by April 30 afternoon—possibly tied to his OpenAI lawsuit court appearance and focus on advertising enhancements—prompting projections near historical weekly averages of 150-180. Key swings hinge on news cycles like Tesla updates or viral controversies, with weekend lulls or event-driven spikes differentiating outcomes; markets await May 1-5 momentum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated160-179 17.8%
140-159 16.3%
180-199 15.7%
200-219 13%
$4,009,965 Vol.
$4,009,965 Vol.
May 5, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
1%
80-99
4%
100-119
8%
120-139
12%
140-159
16%
160-179
18%
180-199
16%
200-219
13%
220-239
9%
240-259
3%
260-279
2%
280-299
1%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 17.8%
140-159 16.3%
180-199 15.7%
200-219 13%
$4,009,965 Vol.
$4,009,965 Vol.
May 5, 2026
<20
$365,398 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$165,456 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$202,320 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$361,649 Vol.
1%
80-99
$319,569 Vol.
4%
100-119
$188,894 Vol.
8%
120-139
$176,468 Vol.
12%
140-159
$171,792 Vol.
16%
160-179
$150,450 Vol.
18%
180-199
$120,711 Vol.
16%
200-219
$93,058 Vol.
13%
220-239
$94,027 Vol.
9%
240-259
$97,462 Vol.
3%
260-279
$95,587 Vol.
2%
280-299
$97,714 Vol.
1%
300-319
$105,384 Vol.
1%
320-339
$99,885 Vol.
1%
340-359
$120,876 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$114,883 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$212,513 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$173,460 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$120,781 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$114,685 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$111,228 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$116,123 Vol.
<1%
500+
$123,180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting his recent posting rhythm of 20-30 per day amid fluctuating engagement on politics, X platform upgrades, and SpaceX teases. After a high of 56 posts on April 27 and 22 on April 28, volume dipped to single digits by April 30 afternoon—possibly tied to his OpenAI lawsuit court appearance and focus on advertising enhancements—prompting projections near historical weekly averages of 150-180. Key swings hinge on news cycles like Tesla updates or viral controversies, with weekend lulls or event-driven spikes differentiating outcomes; markets await May 1-5 momentum for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$4,009,965End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting his recent posting rhythm of 20-30 per day amid fluctuating engagement on politics, X platform upgrades, and SpaceX teases. After a high of 56 posts on April 27 and 22 on April 28, volume dipped to single digits by April 30 afternoon—possibly tied to his OpenAI lawsuit court appearance and focus on advertising enhancements—prompting projections near historical weekly averages of 150-180. Key swings hinge on news cycles like Tesla updates or viral controversies, with weekend lulls or event-driven spikes differentiating outcomes; markets await May 1-5 momentum for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,009,965End Date
May 5, 2026Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 140-199 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 28 to May 5, reflecting his recent posting rhythm of 20-30 per day amid fluctuating engagement on politics, X platform upgrades, and SpaceX teases. After a high of 56 posts on April 27 and 22 on April 28, volume dipped to single digits by April 30 afternoon—possibly tied to his OpenAI lawsuit court appearance and focus on advertising enhancements—prompting projections near historical weekly averages of 150-180. Key swings hinge on news cycles like Tesla updates or viral controversies, with weekend lulls or event-driven spikes differentiating outcomes; markets await May 1-5 momentum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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