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icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

80-99 30%

100-119 19%

60-79 17.4%

120-139 11%

Polymarket

$112,180 Vol.

80-99 30%

100-119 19%

60-79 17.4%

120-139 11%

Polymarket

$112,180 Vol.

<20

$71,191 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$27,756 Vol.

2%

40-59

$2,743 Vol.

8%

60-79

$1,473 Vol.

17%

80-99

$1,038 Vol.

30%

100-119

$1,209 Vol.

19%

120-139

$812 Vol.

11%

140-159

$2,056 Vol.

6%

160-179

$1,306 Vol.

6%

180-199

$817 Vol.

3%

200+

$1,780 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting remains a key channel for direct communication on foreign policy, media criticism, and economic highlights, with traders pricing an 80-99 total (29.5%) as most likely for April 28-May 5 based on the platform's historical 17-18 daily average from 2025 and recent patterns. The first three days yielded 12 posts (averaging 4 daily), below the prior week's 9-per-day pace (52 posts through April 29), differentiating the moderate 80-99 lead from higher 100-119 (19.5%) amid slower recent activity yet allowing upside from late-night bursts. The 60-79 range (17.3%) lags due to underweighting potential spikes from Iran Strait developments, Jimmy Kimmel feud escalations, or FCC reviews of ABC stations. Consolidation behind 80-99 could follow sustained 10-12 daily posts driven by cabinet confirmations or rhetorical volleys.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$112,180
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's Truth Social posting remains a key channel for direct communication on foreign policy, media criticism, and economic highlights, with traders pricing an 80-99 total (29.5%) as most likely for April 28-May 5 based on the platform's historical 17-18 daily average from 2025 and recent patterns. The first three days yielded 12 posts (averaging 4 daily), below the prior week's 9-per-day pace (52 posts through April 29), differentiating the moderate 80-99 lead from higher 100-119 (19.5%) amid slower recent activity yet allowing upside from late-night bursts. The 60-79 range (17.3%) lags due to underweighting potential spikes from Iran Strait developments, Jimmy Kimmel feud escalations, or FCC reviews of ABC stations. Consolidation behind 80-99 could follow sustained 10-12 daily posts driven by cabinet confirmations or rhetorical volleys.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$112,180
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 28, 12:00 PM ET and May 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80-99" at 30%, followed by "100-119" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?" has generated $112.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?" is "80-99" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100-119" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.