President Trump's Truth Social posting remains a key channel for direct communication on foreign policy, media criticism, and economic highlights, with traders pricing an 80-99 total (29.5%) as most likely for April 28-May 5 based on the platform's historical 17-18 daily average from 2025 and recent patterns. The first three days yielded 12 posts (averaging 4 daily), below the prior week's 9-per-day pace (52 posts through April 29), differentiating the moderate 80-99 lead from higher 100-119 (19.5%) amid slower recent activity yet allowing upside from late-night bursts. The 60-79 range (17.3%) lags due to underweighting potential spikes from Iran Strait developments, Jimmy Kimmel feud escalations, or FCC reviews of ABC stations. Consolidation behind 80-99 could follow sustained 10-12 daily posts driven by cabinet confirmations or rhetorical volleys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated80-99 30%
100-119 19%
60-79 17.4%
120-139 11%
$112,180 Vol.
$112,180 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
2%
40-59
8%
60-79
17%
80-99
30%
100-119
19%
120-139
11%
140-159
6%
160-179
6%
180-199
3%
200+
5%
80-99 30%
100-119 19%
60-79 17.4%
120-139 11%
$112,180 Vol.
$112,180 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
2%
40-59
8%
60-79
17%
80-99
30%
100-119
19%
120-139
11%
140-159
6%
160-179
6%
180-199
3%
200+
5%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's Truth Social posting remains a key channel for direct communication on foreign policy, media criticism, and economic highlights, with traders pricing an 80-99 total (29.5%) as most likely for April 28-May 5 based on the platform's historical 17-18 daily average from 2025 and recent patterns. The first three days yielded 12 posts (averaging 4 daily), below the prior week's 9-per-day pace (52 posts through April 29), differentiating the moderate 80-99 lead from higher 100-119 (19.5%) amid slower recent activity yet allowing upside from late-night bursts. The 60-79 range (17.3%) lags due to underweighting potential spikes from Iran Strait developments, Jimmy Kimmel feud escalations, or FCC reviews of ABC stations. Consolidation behind 80-99 could follow sustained 10-12 daily posts driven by cabinet confirmations or rhetorical volleys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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