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icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

icon for Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

3% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

$10,261 Vol.

3% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

$10,261 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors "No" at 62% for President Xi Jinping meeting Iranian officials by May 15, reflecting the absence of any official announcement or scheduled bilateral summit amid heightened China-Iran diplomacy over the US-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's visit to Beijing starting May 6 focuses on talks with his counterpart Wang Yi on bilateral ties and regional issues, with no confirmed agenda including Xi despite unverified speculation. Xi's recent Middle East engagement—such as April ceasefire calls during a UAE crown prince meeting—has stayed at statement or lower levels, while preparations dominate for his May 14-15 summit hosting US President Trump, where Iran features prominently, crowding potential additional meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,261
Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors "No" at 62% for President Xi Jinping meeting Iranian officials by May 15, reflecting the absence of any official announcement or scheduled bilateral summit amid heightened China-Iran diplomacy over the US-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's visit to Beijing starting May 6 focuses on talks with his counterpart Wang Yi on bilateral ties and regional issues, with no confirmed agenda including Xi despite unverified speculation. Xi's recent Middle East engagement—such as April ceasefire calls during a UAE crown prince meeting—has stayed at statement or lower levels, while preparations dominate for his May 14-15 summit hosting US President Trump, where Iran features prominently, crowding potential additional meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,261
Fecha de finalización
15 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with one or more Iranian government officials by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 3% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 3¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 3% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" ha generado $10.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 5, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" es 3% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 3% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.