Skip to main content
icon for Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

icon for Will Trump visit China on...?

Will Trump visit China on...?

May 13 41%

May 14 37%

No visit by May 31 17%

May 15 2.0%

Polymarket

$132,349 Vol.

May 13 41%

May 14 37%

No visit by May 31 17%

May 15 2.0%

Polymarket

$132,349 Vol.

On or prior to May 1

$13,153 Vol.

<1%

May 2

$1,972 Vol.

<1%

May 3

$2,504 Vol.

<1%

May 4

$2,125 Vol.

<1%

May 5

$2,816 Vol.

<1%

May 6

$2,569 Vol.

<1%

May 7

$2,573 Vol.

<1%

May 8

$2,714 Vol.

<1%

May 9

$2,310 Vol.

<1%

May 10

$2,270 Vol.

<1%

May 11

$2,393 Vol.

<1%

May 12

$2,571 Vol.

<1%

May 13

$23,654 Vol.

41%

May 14

$10,278 Vol.

37%

May 15

$7,283 Vol.

2%

May 16

$3,290 Vol.

1%

May 17

$2,482 Vol.

<1%

May 18

$2,244 Vol.

<1%

May 19

$2,521 Vol.

1%

May 20

$2,845 Vol.

<1%

May 21

$2,448 Vol.

1%

May 22

$2,384 Vol.

<1%

May 23

$2,383 Vol.

<1%

May 24

$2,328 Vol.

1%

May 25

$2,820 Vol.

1%

May 26

$2,330 Vol.

1%

May 27

$2,168 Vol.

<1%

May 28

$2,325 Vol.

1%

May 29

$2,290 Vol.

1%

May 30

$2,351 Vol.

1%

May 31

$2,370 Vol.

1%

No visit by May 31

$11,983 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt announced on March 25 that President Trump will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduling an earlier trip delayed by U.S. military operations against Iran. Recent high-level diplomacy—including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's candid talks with Vice Premier He Lifeng on April 30 and top diplomats' phone discussions—signals the summit remains on track amid trade tensions and China's eased rare earth restrictions. Trader consensus prices May 13 and 14 as narrow frontrunners, reflecting uncertainty over the precise arrival or opening day of the multi-day visit, while lingering Iran ceasefire risks keep "No visit by May 31" viable at 16.5%; official itinerary details or escalation signals could widen the gap.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$132,349
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt announced on March 25 that President Trump will meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduling an earlier trip delayed by U.S. military operations against Iran. Recent high-level diplomacy—including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's candid talks with Vice Premier He Lifeng on April 30 and top diplomats' phone discussions—signals the summit remains on track amid trade tensions and China's eased rare earth restrictions. Trader consensus prices May 13 and 14 as narrow frontrunners, reflecting uncertainty over the precise arrival or opening day of the multi-day visit, while lingering Iran ceasefire risks keep "No visit by May 31" viable at 16.5%; official itinerary details or escalation signals could widen the gap.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$132,349
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Will Trump visit China on...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 32 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "May 13" con 41%, seguido de "May 14" con 37%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 41¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will Trump visit China on...?" ha generado $132.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will Trump visit China on...?", explora los 32 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will Trump visit China on...?" es "May 13" con 41%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 41% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "May 14" con 37%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will Trump visit China on...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.