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icon for ¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?

¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?

icon for ¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?

¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?

jun 30

jun 30

$222,339 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$222,339 Vol.

Polymarket

18 de junio

$32 Vol.

94%

25 de junio

$11 Vol.

93%

27 de junio

$37 Vol.

93%

5 de junio

$14,860 Vol.

94%

6 de junio

$8,315 Vol.

96%

7 de junio

$2,006 Vol.

94%

8 de junio

$680 Vol.

95%

9 de junio

$416 Vol.

94%

10 de junio

$394 Vol.

94%

11 de junio

$284 Vol.

93%

12 de junio

$893 Vol.

93%

13 de junio

$295 Vol.

93%

14 de junio

$245 Vol.

93%

15 de junio

$2,243 Vol.

93%

16 de junio

$126 Vol.

93%

17 de junio

$22 Vol.

93%

19 de junio

$33 Vol.

94%

20 de junio

$42 Vol.

93%

21 de junio

$1,352 Vol.

94%

22 de junio

$12 Vol.

93%

23 de junio

$27 Vol.

93%

24 de junio

$14 Vol.

93%

26 de junio

$72 Vol.

93%

28 de junio

$157 Vol.

94%

29 de junio

$647 Vol.

93%

30 de junio

$32 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s established pattern of direct, often pointed public commentary through speeches, interviews, social media posts, and press interactions continues to shape trader assessments of daily or short-term insult markets. Analyses of his second-term rhetoric show elevated use of personal descriptors and strong language compared with prior years, including recent references to opponents and foreign leaders amid ongoing negotiations over Iran and regional issues. Scheduled White House events, executive actions, and media appearances through early June provide regular platforms for statements, while the absence of major self-imposed restraints on tone keeps probabilities elevated for affirmative outcomes on specific dates. Historical frequency of such remarks in comparable periods reinforces the current positioning without guaranteeing any single instance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$222,339
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s established pattern of direct, often pointed public commentary through speeches, interviews, social media posts, and press interactions continues to shape trader assessments of daily or short-term insult markets. Analyses of his second-term rhetoric show elevated use of personal descriptors and strong language compared with prior years, including recent references to opponents and foreign leaders amid ongoing negotiations over Iran and regional issues. Scheduled White House events, executive actions, and media appearances through early June provide regular platforms for statements, while the absence of major self-imposed restraints on tone keeps probabilities elevated for affirmative outcomes on specific dates. Historical frequency of such remarks in comparable periods reinforces the current positioning without guaranteeing any single instance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$222,339
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 29 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "2 de junio" con 100%, seguido de "3 de junio" con 100%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?" ha generado $222.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?", explora los 29 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?" es "2 de junio" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "3 de junio" con 100%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump insultará públicamente a alguien en...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.