Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% for Alberta joining the US, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which requires federal negotiations and a clear referendum majority for secession—let alone US statehood admission via Congressional approval. Recent exposure of a coordinated network of AI-generated YouTube channels promoting Alberta secession and US annexation, amassing 40 million views but dismissed as disinformation, highlights the absence of genuine momentum, with polls showing only 38% support for even independence. First Nations legal challenges, including Blood Tribe's April actions against any referendum, further entrench opposition. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented bilateral diplomacy or a binding October 19 independence vote passing overwhelmingly, both highly improbable absent federal collapse.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Alberta se unirá a los Estados Unidos?
¿Alberta se unirá a los Estados Unidos?
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% for Alberta joining the US, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which requires federal negotiations and a clear referendum majority for secession—let alone US statehood admission via Congressional approval. Recent exposure of a coordinated network of AI-generated YouTube channels promoting Alberta secession and US annexation, amassing 40 million views but dismissed as disinformation, highlights the absence of genuine momentum, with polls showing only 38% support for even independence. First Nations legal challenges, including Blood Tribe's April actions against any referendum, further entrench opposition. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented bilateral diplomacy or a binding October 19 independence vote passing overwhelmingly, both highly improbable absent federal collapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
Volumen
$5,125Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% for Alberta joining the US, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which requires federal negotiations and a clear referendum majority for secession—let alone US statehood admission via Congressional approval. Recent exposure of a coordinated network of AI-generated YouTube channels promoting Alberta secession and US annexation, amassing 40 million views but dismissed as disinformation, highlights the absence of genuine momentum, with polls showing only 38% support for even independence. First Nations legal challenges, including Blood Tribe's April actions against any referendum, further entrench opposition. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented bilateral diplomacy or a binding October 19 independence vote passing overwhelmingly, both highly improbable absent federal collapse.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, or if Alberta officially comes under US sovereignty, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Alberta as of February 6, 2026, currently a Canadian province, to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Canada that Alberta will come under US sovereignty, within this market's timeframe, will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. a ratified treaty, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere suggestions, negotiations, or posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Canada, and Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Alberta has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Volumen
$5,125Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.9% for Alberta joining the US, driven by insurmountable constitutional barriers under Canada's Clarity Act, which requires federal negotiations and a clear referendum majority for secession—let alone US statehood admission via Congressional approval. Recent exposure of a coordinated network of AI-generated YouTube channels promoting Alberta secession and US annexation, amassing 40 million views but dismissed as disinformation, highlights the absence of genuine momentum, with polls showing only 38% support for even independence. First Nations legal challenges, including Blood Tribe's April actions against any referendum, further entrench opposition. Realistic shifts would demand unprecedented bilateral diplomacy or a binding October 19 independence vote passing overwhelmingly, both highly improbable absent federal collapse.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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