Senate Republicans hold a 53-47 majority but have shown little inclination to invoke the nuclear option against the legislative filibuster despite President Trump’s repeated public calls, including during the 2025 government shutdown, for a simple-majority rules change to advance funding and other priorities. Majority Leader John Thune and multiple GOP senators have reaffirmed support for the 60-vote threshold as an institutional safeguard that protects the minority when power shifts, distinguishing it from narrower precedent-setting moves already applied to nominations. Past episodes of partisan obstruction have prompted targeted procedural adjustments rather than full elimination of the legislative filibuster, and no scheduled votes or caucus consensus indicate an imminent shift through mid-2026. Trader pricing reflects this entrenched resistance amid competing incentives to preserve Senate norms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$559,911 Vol.
31 mar 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
18%
$559,911 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$4,949 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a 53-47 majority but have shown little inclination to invoke the nuclear option against the legislative filibuster despite President Trump’s repeated public calls, including during the 2025 government shutdown, for a simple-majority rules change to advance funding and other priorities. Majority Leader John Thune and multiple GOP senators have reaffirmed support for the 60-vote threshold as an institutional safeguard that protects the minority when power shifts, distinguishing it from narrower precedent-setting moves already applied to nominations. Past episodes of partisan obstruction have prompted targeted procedural adjustments rather than full elimination of the legislative filibuster, and no scheduled votes or caucus consensus indicate an imminent shift through mid-2026. Trader pricing reflects this entrenched resistance amid competing incentives to preserve Senate norms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$559,911Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republicans hold a 53-47 majority but have shown little inclination to invoke the nuclear option against the legislative filibuster despite President Trump’s repeated public calls, including during the 2025 government shutdown, for a simple-majority rules change to advance funding and other priorities. Majority Leader John Thune and multiple GOP senators have reaffirmed support for the 60-vote threshold as an institutional safeguard that protects the minority when power shifts, distinguishing it from narrower precedent-setting moves already applied to nominations. Past episodes of partisan obstruction have prompted targeted procedural adjustments rather than full elimination of the legislative filibuster, and no scheduled votes or caucus consensus indicate an imminent shift through mid-2026. Trader pricing reflects this entrenched resistance amid competing incentives to preserve Senate norms.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Volumen
$559,911Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Senate Republicans hold a 53-47 majority but have shown little inclination to invoke the nuclear option against the legislative filibuster despite President Trump’s repeated public calls, including during the 2025 government shutdown, for a simple-majority rules change to advance funding and other priorities. Majority Leader John Thune and multiple GOP senators have reaffirmed support for the 60-vote threshold as an institutional safeguard that protects the minority when power shifts, distinguishing it from narrower precedent-setting moves already applied to nominations. Past episodes of partisan obstruction have prompted targeted procedural adjustments rather than full elimination of the legislative filibuster, and no scheduled votes or caucus consensus indicate an imminent shift through mid-2026. Trader pricing reflects this entrenched resistance amid competing incentives to preserve Senate norms.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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