Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, giving them procedural tools such as reconciliation or targeted rules precedents for nominations, yet leadership has repeatedly rejected calls to invoke the nuclear option on the legislative filibuster. President Trump pressed the issue during the 2025 funding impasse and again in early 2026 debates over election legislation, but Thune and senators across the caucus have cited the filibuster’s role in forcing bipartisan consensus and protecting the minority once power shifts. Past narrow uses of the nuclear option addressed only executive or judicial matters, not the 60-vote threshold for ordinary bills. Traders therefore assign very low probability to full elimination by late 2026 absent a major shift in Senate dynamics or scheduled votes on rules changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$559,911 Vol.
31 mar 2026
31 de diciembre de 2026
20%
$559,911 Vol.
31 de diciembre de 2026
$4,949 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, giving them procedural tools such as reconciliation or targeted rules precedents for nominations, yet leadership has repeatedly rejected calls to invoke the nuclear option on the legislative filibuster. President Trump pressed the issue during the 2025 funding impasse and again in early 2026 debates over election legislation, but Thune and senators across the caucus have cited the filibuster’s role in forcing bipartisan consensus and protecting the minority once power shifts. Past narrow uses of the nuclear option addressed only executive or judicial matters, not the 60-vote threshold for ordinary bills. Traders therefore assign very low probability to full elimination by late 2026 absent a major shift in Senate dynamics or scheduled votes on rules changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$559,911Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, giving them procedural tools such as reconciliation or targeted rules precedents for nominations, yet leadership has repeatedly rejected calls to invoke the nuclear option on the legislative filibuster. President Trump pressed the issue during the 2025 funding impasse and again in early 2026 debates over election legislation, but Thune and senators across the caucus have cited the filibuster’s role in forcing bipartisan consensus and protecting the minority once power shifts. Past narrow uses of the nuclear option addressed only executive or judicial matters, not the 60-vote threshold for ordinary bills. Traders therefore assign very low probability to full elimination by late 2026 absent a major shift in Senate dynamics or scheduled votes on rules changes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Volumen
$559,911Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republicans hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, giving them procedural tools such as reconciliation or targeted rules precedents for nominations, yet leadership has repeatedly rejected calls to invoke the nuclear option on the legislative filibuster. President Trump pressed the issue during the 2025 funding impasse and again in early 2026 debates over election legislation, but Thune and senators across the caucus have cited the filibuster’s role in forcing bipartisan consensus and protecting the minority once power shifts. Past narrow uses of the nuclear option addressed only executive or judicial matters, not the 60-vote threshold for ordinary bills. Traders therefore assign very low probability to full elimination by late 2026 absent a major shift in Senate dynamics or scheduled votes on rules changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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