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Geopolítica·Rusia

¿Putin visitará China antes del 31 de mayo?

icon for ¿Putin visitará China antes del 31 de mayo?
Geopolítica·Rusia

¿Putin visitará China antes del 31 de mayo?

Sí

88% probabilidad
Polymarket

$80,549 Vol.

Sí

88% probabilidad
Polymarket

$80,549 Vol.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov confirmed on April 15 that President Vladimir Putin is preparing a high-level visit to China in the first half of 2026, following an invitation from President Xi Jinping during their February videoconference, with preliminary dates discussed for mid- to late May. These official statements, amid deepening bilateral ties including energy supply boosts and a key treaty renewal, have driven trader consensus to an 88% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting preparations for strategic partnership talks. While no exact itinerary is finalized, potential scheduling overlaps with U.S. President Trump's planned May 14-15 trip underscore diplomatic coordination; low risks remain from unforeseen escalations in Ukraine or health issues.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$80,549
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov confirmed on April 15 that President Vladimir Putin is preparing a high-level visit to China in the first half of 2026, following an invitation from President Xi Jinping during their February videoconference, with preliminary dates discussed for mid- to late May. These official statements, amid deepening bilateral ties including energy supply boosts and a key treaty renewal, have driven trader consensus to an 88% implied probability for "Yes," reflecting preparations for strategic partnership talks. While no exact itinerary is finalized, potential scheduling overlaps with U.S. President Trump's planned May 14-15 trip underscore diplomatic coordination; low risks remain from unforeseen escalations in Ukraine or health issues.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$80,549
Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Putin visitará China antes del 31 de mayo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Visitará Putin China antes del 31 de mayo?" con 88%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 88¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Putin visitará China antes del 31 de mayo?" ha generado $80.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Putin visitará China antes del 31 de mayo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Putin visitará China antes del 31 de mayo?" es "¿Visitará Putin China antes del 31 de mayo?" con 88%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 88% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Putin visitará China antes del 31 de mayo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.