Incumbent Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's (R) commanding hold on Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to an 83% implied probability for a Republican win in the November general election. Fitzgerald captured 64% of the vote against Democrat Ben Steinhoff in 2024, advancing unopposed in his primary, and boasts over $1.4 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Democratic primary contenders Steinhoff and Andrew Beck lag far behind in fundraising, signaling weak opposition in this Milwaukee suburb-heavy battleground. No polling or major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the GOP structural edge ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWI-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WI-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,879 Vol.
$12,879 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
85%
Partido Demócrata
14%
$12,879 Vol.
$12,879 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,532 Vol.
85%
Partido Demócrata
$3,346 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's (R) commanding hold on Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to an 83% implied probability for a Republican win in the November general election. Fitzgerald captured 64% of the vote against Democrat Ben Steinhoff in 2024, advancing unopposed in his primary, and boasts over $1.4 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Democratic primary contenders Steinhoff and Andrew Beck lag far behind in fundraising, signaling weak opposition in this Milwaukee suburb-heavy battleground. No polling or major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the GOP structural edge ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$12,879Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's (R) commanding hold on Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to an 83% implied probability for a Republican win in the November general election. Fitzgerald captured 64% of the vote against Democrat Ben Steinhoff in 2024, advancing unopposed in his primary, and boasts over $1.4 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Democratic primary contenders Steinhoff and Andrew Beck lag far behind in fundraising, signaling weak opposition in this Milwaukee suburb-heavy battleground. No polling or major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the GOP structural edge ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,879Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Scott Fitzgerald's (R) commanding hold on Wisconsin's 5th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+11 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to an 83% implied probability for a Republican win in the November general election. Fitzgerald captured 64% of the vote against Democrat Ben Steinhoff in 2024, advancing unopposed in his primary, and boasts over $1.4 million cash-on-hand as of late March. Democratic primary contenders Steinhoff and Andrew Beck lag far behind in fundraising, signaling weak opposition in this Milwaukee suburb-heavy battleground. No polling or major developments have emerged in the past 30 days to challenge the GOP structural edge ahead of the June 1 filing deadline and August 11 primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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