Incumbent Rep. Jake Ellzey clinched the Republican nomination in Texas' 6th District's March 3 primary with 68% against minor challengers, setting up a general election matchup against unopposed Democrat Danny Minton on November 3. The district's R+14 Cook PVI, Ellzey's 66%-34% 2024 win, and massive fundraising edge—$3.7 million raised to Minton's $25,000 as of late March—cement its safe Republican status per Cook and Sabato ratings. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or national shifts in the past 30 days, trader consensus implies an 88% Republican probability, highlighting incumbency, historical dominance, and resource barriers for Democrats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,734 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$4,256 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jake Ellzey clinched the Republican nomination in Texas' 6th District's March 3 primary with 68% against minor challengers, setting up a general election matchup against unopposed Democrat Danny Minton on November 3. The district's R+14 Cook PVI, Ellzey's 66%-34% 2024 win, and massive fundraising edge—$3.7 million raised to Minton's $25,000 as of late March—cement its safe Republican status per Cook and Sabato ratings. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or national shifts in the past 30 days, trader consensus implies an 88% Republican probability, highlighting incumbency, historical dominance, and resource barriers for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$6,991Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jake Ellzey clinched the Republican nomination in Texas' 6th District's March 3 primary with 68% against minor challengers, setting up a general election matchup against unopposed Democrat Danny Minton on November 3. The district's R+14 Cook PVI, Ellzey's 66%-34% 2024 win, and massive fundraising edge—$3.7 million raised to Minton's $25,000 as of late March—cement its safe Republican status per Cook and Sabato ratings. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or national shifts in the past 30 days, trader consensus implies an 88% Republican probability, highlighting incumbency, historical dominance, and resource barriers for Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,991Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jake Ellzey clinched the Republican nomination in Texas' 6th District's March 3 primary with 68% against minor challengers, setting up a general election matchup against unopposed Democrat Danny Minton on November 3. The district's R+14 Cook PVI, Ellzey's 66%-34% 2024 win, and massive fundraising edge—$3.7 million raised to Minton's $25,000 as of late March—cement its safe Republican status per Cook and Sabato ratings. Absent recent catalysts like scandals or national shifts in the past 30 days, trader consensus implies an 88% Republican probability, highlighting incumbency, historical dominance, and resource barriers for Democrats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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