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icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

$276,662 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$276,662 Vol.

Polymarket

Donald Brodie

$15 Vol.

53%

Matt Gaetz

$37 Vol.

44%

Roger Stone

$290 Vol.

42%

Bob Menendez

$157 Vol.

40%

Steve Bannon

$7,305 Vol.

35%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,446 Vol.

27%

Ryan Salame

$15,213 Vol.

14%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$81,210 Vol.

10%

Hunter Biden

$2,365 Vol.

9%

Julian Assange

$1,562 Vol.

9%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$15,463 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$333 Vol.

8%

Eric Adams

$129 Vol.

8%

Martin Shkreli

$25,889 Vol.

8%

Roger Ver

$463 Vol.

8%

Elizabeth Holmes

$1,330 Vol.

8%

Young Thug

$4,273 Vol.

7%

Derek Chauvin

$18,721 Vol.

7%

Nicolás Maduro

$8,253 Vol.

7%

Edward Snowden

$1,758 Vol.

6%

Diddy

$7,968 Vol.

6%

Do Kwon

$16,652 Vol.

5%

Él mismo

$6,686 Vol.

5%

Elon Musk

$51,115 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

7%

Daniel Penny

$14 Vol.

45%

Stefan Brodie

$16 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since returning to office in January 2025, beginning with blanket pardons and targeted commutations for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day, including seditious conspiracy convictions. Subsequent actions have included individual pardons and commutations for political allies, former lawmakers, and defendants in white-collar cases involving tax evasion, wire fraud, and securities violations, often waiving restitution obligations. Recent grants through mid-2026 reflect continued focus on reversing specific federal prosecutions, while public statements have referenced potential future protections for administration personnel ahead of the 2026 midterms and term limits. Market pricing on specific names will hinge on documented patterns of loyalty-based grants rather than formal DOJ review processes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$276,662
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since returning to office in January 2025, beginning with blanket pardons and targeted commutations for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day, including seditious conspiracy convictions. Subsequent actions have included individual pardons and commutations for political allies, former lawmakers, and defendants in white-collar cases involving tax evasion, wire fraud, and securities violations, often waiving restitution obligations. Recent grants through mid-2026 reflect continued focus on reversing specific federal prosecutions, while public statements have referenced potential future protections for administration personnel ahead of the 2026 midterms and term limits. Market pricing on specific names will hinge on documented patterns of loyalty-based grants rather than formal DOJ review processes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$276,662
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 27 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Donald Brodie" con 53%, seguido de "Stefan Brodie" con 53%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" ha generado $276.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?", explora los 27 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es "Donald Brodie" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Stefan Brodie" con 53%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.