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Política·Trump

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

icon for ¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?
Política·Trump

¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?

$214,811 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$214,811 Vol.

Polymarket

Daniel Penny

$11 Vol.

49%

Donald Brodie

$0 Vol.

49%

Matt Gaetz

$37 Vol.

49%

Stefan Brodie

$0 Vol.

48%

Keonne Rodriguez

$9,357 Vol.

30%

Ryan Salame

$15,196 Vol.

24%

Eric Adams

$81 Vol.

26%

Young Thug

$4,211 Vol.

16%

Roger Ver

$0 Vol.

14%

Steve Bannon

$6,153 Vol.

18%

Ghislaine Maxwell

$13,117 Vol.

13%

Nicolás Maduro

$6,349 Vol.

12%

Julian Assange

$1,521 Vol.

11%

Derek Chauvin

$18,286 Vol.

9%

Joe Exotic

$330 Vol.

9%

Elizabeth Holmes

$1,016 Vol.

9%

Do Kwon

$16,243 Vol.

8%

Sam Bankman-Fried

$35,655 Vol.

7%

Diddy

$7,521 Vol.

7%

Martin Shkreli

$22,433 Vol.

7%

Edward Snowden

$1,755 Vol.

10%

Elon Musk

$49,478 Vol.

4%

Antoine Massey

$0 Vol.

7%

Hunter Biden

$2,046 Vol.

3%

Él mismo

$3,958 Vol.

10%

Roger Stone

$0 Vol.

48%

Bob Menendez

$58 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's second-term clemency grants, exceeding 1,600 since January 2025—including a mass pardon for January 6 Capitol defendants, political allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, cryptocurrency figure Ross Ulbricht, and numerous white-collar fraudsters—have shaped trader consensus on this market. Recent April 2026 reports of Trump pledging broad preemptive pardons for administration officials, quipping he'll absolve "everyone who has come within 200 feet of the Oval Office," have boosted probabilities for high-profile unpardoneds such as Matt Gaetz (leading at around 50% implied odds), the fraud-convicted billionaire Brodie brothers, and Daniel Penny amid their legal battles. With resolution by December 31, 2026, end-of-term executive actions remain a key catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$214,811
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's second-term clemency grants, exceeding 1,600 since January 2025—including a mass pardon for January 6 Capitol defendants, political allies like Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, cryptocurrency figure Ross Ulbricht, and numerous white-collar fraudsters—have shaped trader consensus on this market. Recent April 2026 reports of Trump pledging broad preemptive pardons for administration officials, quipping he'll absolve "everyone who has come within 200 feet of the Oval Office," have boosted probabilities for high-profile unpardoneds such as Matt Gaetz (leading at around 50% implied odds), the fraud-convicted billionaire Brodie brothers, and Daniel Penny amid their legal battles. With resolution by December 31, 2026, end-of-term executive actions remain a key catalyst.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$214,811
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 27 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Daniel Penny" con 50%, seguido de "Donald Brodie" con 50%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" ha generado $214.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?", explora los 27 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" es "Daniel Penny" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Donald Brodie" con 50%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿A quién perdonará Trump antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.