President Trump's recent cabinet shakeups, including Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 20 resignation amid misconduct allegations and Navy Secretary John Phelan's April 22 departure, have traders focused on potential verbal announcements of successors like border czar Tom Homan or communications director Karoline Leavitt in final April public remarks. Elon Musk leads trader consensus due to ongoing collaboration on government efficiency efforts, while odds for fiscal critics Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Rand Paul persist after Trump's April 17 Turning Point USA speech rebuke. International figures like FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who requested ICE raids on April 14, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz also factor in. No qualifying mentions occurred at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner or April 27 King Charles III meeting, with the market resolving after April 30 based solely on recorded verbal references.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$117,029 Vol.
30 abr 2026
Machado
10%
Delcy
8%
Leavitt
6%
Gianni / Infantino
6%
Homan
5%
Paxton
5%
Massie
4%
Bolsonaro
4%
Friedrich / Merz
3%
Zohran / Mamdani
3%
Rand Paul
3%
Talarico
3%
Bernie
1%
Nicki / Minaj
<1%
Kavanaugh
<1%
Elon / Musk
48%
$117,029 Vol.
Machado
$488 Vol.
10%
Delcy
$774 Vol.
8%
Leavitt
$1,024 Vol.
6%
Gianni / Infantino
$1,418 Vol.
6%
Homan
$2,523 Vol.
5%
Paxton
$3,153 Vol.
5%
Massie
$3,289 Vol.
4%
Bolsonaro
$3,282 Vol.
4%
Friedrich / Merz
$1,068 Vol.
3%
Zohran / Mamdani
$1,231 Vol.
3%
Rand Paul
$1,189 Vol.
3%
Talarico
$3,819 Vol.
3%
Bernie
$1,291 Vol.
1%
Nicki / Minaj
$1,867 Vol.
<1%
Kavanaugh
$767 Vol.
<1%
Elon / Musk
$576 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent cabinet shakeups, including Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 20 resignation amid misconduct allegations and Navy Secretary John Phelan's April 22 departure, have traders focused on potential verbal announcements of successors like border czar Tom Homan or communications director Karoline Leavitt in final April public remarks. Elon Musk leads trader consensus due to ongoing collaboration on government efficiency efforts, while odds for fiscal critics Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Rand Paul persist after Trump's April 17 Turning Point USA speech rebuke. International figures like FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who requested ICE raids on April 14, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz also factor in. No qualifying mentions occurred at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner or April 27 King Charles III meeting, with the market resolving after April 30 based solely on recorded verbal references.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volumen
$117,029Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent cabinet shakeups, including Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 20 resignation amid misconduct allegations and Navy Secretary John Phelan's April 22 departure, have traders focused on potential verbal announcements of successors like border czar Tom Homan or communications director Karoline Leavitt in final April public remarks. Elon Musk leads trader consensus due to ongoing collaboration on government efficiency efforts, while odds for fiscal critics Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Rand Paul persist after Trump's April 17 Turning Point USA speech rebuke. International figures like FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who requested ICE raids on April 14, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz also factor in. No qualifying mentions occurred at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner or April 27 King Charles III meeting, with the market resolving after April 30 based solely on recorded verbal references.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$117,029Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent cabinet shakeups, including Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 20 resignation amid misconduct allegations and Navy Secretary John Phelan's April 22 departure, have traders focused on potential verbal announcements of successors like border czar Tom Homan or communications director Karoline Leavitt in final April public remarks. Elon Musk leads trader consensus due to ongoing collaboration on government efficiency efforts, while odds for fiscal critics Rep. Thomas Massie and Sen. Rand Paul persist after Trump's April 17 Turning Point USA speech rebuke. International figures like FIFA President Gianni Infantino, who requested ICE raids on April 14, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz also factor in. No qualifying mentions occurred at the April 25 White House Correspondents' Dinner or April 27 King Charles III meeting, with the market resolving after April 30 based solely on recorded verbal references.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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