Former FBI Director James Comey's second federal indictment by the Trump administration's DOJ for allegedly threatening President Trump via an Instagram post of seashells arranged as "86 47"—interpreted as mob code—has dominated recent developments, culminating in his initial court appearance on April 30. With no public statements from Comey criticizing or insulting Trump in the past week amid this legal pressure, traders reflect near-unanimous confidence at 95.5% "No" probability before Friday's deadline. His focus remains on defense proceedings, echoing a low-profile stance since leaving office. Rare shifts could arise from an unscheduled Substack video, interview, or social media outburst, though none are anticipated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Comey insultará a Trump el viernes?
¿Comey insultará a Trump el viernes?
Sí
$27,946 Vol.
$27,946 Vol.
Sí
$27,946 Vol.
$27,946 Vol.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Comey qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Comey qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Former FBI Director James Comey's second federal indictment by the Trump administration's DOJ for allegedly threatening President Trump via an Instagram post of seashells arranged as "86 47"—interpreted as mob code—has dominated recent developments, culminating in his initial court appearance on April 30. With no public statements from Comey criticizing or insulting Trump in the past week amid this legal pressure, traders reflect near-unanimous confidence at 95.5% "No" probability before Friday's deadline. His focus remains on defense proceedings, echoing a low-profile stance since leaving office. Rare shifts could arise from an unscheduled Substack video, interview, or social media outburst, though none are anticipated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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