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Política·Naciones Unidas

¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?

icon for ¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?
Política·Naciones Unidas

¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?

Rafael Grossi 50%

Michelle Bachelet 25%

Rebeca Grynspan 22.1%

María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 8.4%

Polymarket

$47,553 Vol.

Rafael Grossi 50%

Michelle Bachelet 25%

Rebeca Grynspan 22.1%

María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés 8.4%

Polymarket

$47,553 Vol.

Rafael Grossi

$17,233 Vol.

50%

Michelle Bachelet

$18,946 Vol.

25%

Rebeca Grynspan

$2,390 Vol.

19%

María Fernanda Espinosa Garcés

$728 Vol.

8%

Jacinda Ardern

$613 Vol.

2%

Alicia Bárcena

$574 Vol.

1%

Mia Mottley

$736 Vol.

1%

David Choquehuanca

$740 Vol.

1%

Vuk Jeremić

$703 Vol.

1%

Colombe Cahen-Salvador

$849 Vol.

1%

Achim Steiner

$731 Vol.

1%

Kristalina Georgieva

$627 Vol.

<1%

Bruno Donat

$624 Vol.

<1%

Amina Mohammed

$2,059 Vol.

<1%

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi at 49.5% implied probability to become the next UN Secretary-General, succeeding António Guterres whose term ends December 31, 2026, reflecting his strong performance in recent interactive dialogues with member states on April 21, 2026, where he emphasized crisis management skills honed amid nuclear tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East. Michelle Bachelet (22%), former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, gains from her human rights and gender equity expertise, backed by Brazil and Mexico despite Chile's withdrawn nomination. Rebeca Grynspan (15.8%), UNCTAD Secretary-General nominated by Costa Rica, highlights sustainable development priorities, while Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés (11.5%), ex-UN General Assembly President, draws Ecuadorian and regional support. The process prioritizes Latin American candidates per informal rotation norms, with Security Council recommendation pending P5 consensus later in 2026.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$47,553
Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi at 49.5% implied probability to become the next UN Secretary-General, succeeding António Guterres whose term ends December 31, 2026, reflecting his strong performance in recent interactive dialogues with member states on April 21, 2026, where he emphasized crisis management skills honed amid nuclear tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East. Michelle Bachelet (22%), former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, gains from her human rights and gender equity expertise, backed by Brazil and Mexico despite Chile's withdrawn nomination. Rebeca Grynspan (15.8%), UNCTAD Secretary-General nominated by Costa Rica, highlights sustainable development priorities, while Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés (11.5%), ex-UN General Assembly President, draws Ecuadorian and regional support. The process prioritizes Latin American candidates per informal rotation norms, with Security Council recommendation pending P5 consensus later in 2026.

A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count.

If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$47,553
Fecha de finalización
28 feb 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 11, 2025, 7:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rafael Grossi" con 50%, seguido de "Michelle Bachelet" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?" ha generado $47.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 12, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?" es "Rafael Grossi" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Michelle Bachelet" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Secretario General de la ONU?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.