Pakistan has emerged as the favored venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, with trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability, driven by its role as primary mediator in prior April rounds at Islamabad's Serena Hotel and recent high-level shuttling. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's visits to Pakistan and Oman, alongside US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner heading to Islamabad amid a fragile ceasefire, have boosted expectations despite a recent Trump cancellation over stalled nuclear and Strait of Hormuz issues. The 39.6% no-meeting-by-June-30 odds reflect persistent US demands on enriched uranium and Iranian accusations of unserious diplomacy, keeping the race tight; confirmation of direct talks or further breakdowns could decisively shift positioning before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde tendrá lugar la próxima reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán?
¿Dónde tendrá lugar la próxima reunión diplomática entre Estados Unidos e Irán?
Pakistán 49.6%
Sin reunión antes del 30 de junio 39.6%
Omán 1.9%
Egipto 1.5%
$3,041,845 Vol.
$3,041,845 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Pakistán
50%
Sin reunión antes del 30 de junio
40%
Omán
2%
Egipto
2%
Rusia
1%
Suiza
1%
Catar
1%
Emiratos Árabes Unidos
1%
Turquía
<1%
Otro
<1%
Otro - Europa
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Austria
<1%
Otro - Oriente Medio/Norte de África
<1%
Irán
<1%
Estados Unidos
<1%
Irak
<1%
Kazajistán
<1%
Italia
<1%
Pakistán 49.6%
Sin reunión antes del 30 de junio 39.6%
Omán 1.9%
Egipto 1.5%
$3,041,845 Vol.
$3,041,845 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Pakistán
$544,689 Vol.
50%
Sin reunión antes del 30 de junio
$417,469 Vol.
40%
Omán
$205,616 Vol.
2%
Egipto
$107,953 Vol.
2%
Rusia
$129,747 Vol.
1%
Suiza
$217,101 Vol.
1%
Catar
$142,826 Vol.
1%
Emiratos Árabes Unidos
$88,649 Vol.
1%
Turquía
$196,077 Vol.
<1%
Otro
$158,693 Vol.
<1%
Otro - Europa
$155,895 Vol.
<1%
Arabia Saudita
$101,299 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$135,350 Vol.
<1%
Otro - Oriente Medio/Norte de África
$122,287 Vol.
<1%
Irán
$48,905 Vol.
<1%
Estados Unidos
$78,349 Vol.
<1%
Irak
$43,753 Vol.
<1%
Kazajistán
$59,224 Vol.
<1%
Italia
$88,408 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pakistan has emerged as the favored venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, with trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability, driven by its role as primary mediator in prior April rounds at Islamabad's Serena Hotel and recent high-level shuttling. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's visits to Pakistan and Oman, alongside US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner heading to Islamabad amid a fragile ceasefire, have boosted expectations despite a recent Trump cancellation over stalled nuclear and Strait of Hormuz issues. The 39.6% no-meeting-by-June-30 odds reflect persistent US demands on enriched uranium and Iranian accusations of unserious diplomacy, keeping the race tight; confirmation of direct talks or further breakdowns could decisively shift positioning before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Volumen
$3,041,845Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Pakistan has emerged as the favored venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, with trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability, driven by its role as primary mediator in prior April rounds at Islamabad's Serena Hotel and recent high-level shuttling. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's visits to Pakistan and Oman, alongside US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner heading to Islamabad amid a fragile ceasefire, have boosted expectations despite a recent Trump cancellation over stalled nuclear and Strait of Hormuz issues. The 39.6% no-meeting-by-June-30 odds reflect persistent US demands on enriched uranium and Iranian accusations of unserious diplomacy, keeping the race tight; confirmation of direct talks or further breakdowns could decisively shift positioning before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$3,041,845Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan has emerged as the favored venue for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, with trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability, driven by its role as primary mediator in prior April rounds at Islamabad's Serena Hotel and recent high-level shuttling. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's visits to Pakistan and Oman, alongside US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner heading to Islamabad amid a fragile ceasefire, have boosted expectations despite a recent Trump cancellation over stalled nuclear and Strait of Hormuz issues. The 39.6% no-meeting-by-June-30 odds reflect persistent US demands on enriched uranium and Iranian accusations of unserious diplomacy, keeping the race tight; confirmation of direct talks or further breakdowns could decisively shift positioning before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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