Recent U.S.-China trade talks following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit produced preliminary understandings on agricultural purchases and the creation of bilateral trade and investment boards to discuss reciprocal tariff reductions on at least $30 billion in goods per side. However, no formal agreement implementing broad tariff cuts has been reached, and the existing truce on heightened reciprocal duties extends only to November. Fresh U.S. proposals for additional tariffs of 10-12.5% on Chinese imports tied to forced labor investigations, announced in early June, underscore ongoing bilateral friction. These factors, combined with the short timeline to June 30 and historical patterns of protracted negotiations, underpin trader consensus that a comprehensive tariff accord is unlikely by the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit produced preliminary understandings on agricultural purchases and the creation of bilateral trade and investment boards to discuss reciprocal tariff reductions on at least $30 billion in goods per side. However, no formal agreement implementing broad tariff cuts has been reached, and the existing truce on heightened reciprocal duties extends only to November. Fresh U.S. proposals for additional tariffs of 10-12.5% on Chinese imports tied to forced labor investigations, announced in early June, underscore ongoing bilateral friction. These factors, combined with the short timeline to June 30 and historical patterns of protracted negotiations, underpin trader consensus that a comprehensive tariff accord is unlikely by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volumen
$3,920Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade talks following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit produced preliminary understandings on agricultural purchases and the creation of bilateral trade and investment boards to discuss reciprocal tariff reductions on at least $30 billion in goods per side. However, no formal agreement implementing broad tariff cuts has been reached, and the existing truce on heightened reciprocal duties extends only to November. Fresh U.S. proposals for additional tariffs of 10-12.5% on Chinese imports tied to forced labor investigations, announced in early June, underscore ongoing bilateral friction. These factors, combined with the short timeline to June 30 and historical patterns of protracted negotiations, underpin trader consensus that a comprehensive tariff accord is unlikely by the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$3,920Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China trade talks following the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit produced preliminary understandings on agricultural purchases and the creation of bilateral trade and investment boards to discuss reciprocal tariff reductions on at least $30 billion in goods per side. However, no formal agreement implementing broad tariff cuts has been reached, and the existing truce on heightened reciprocal duties extends only to November. Fresh U.S. proposals for additional tariffs of 10-12.5% on Chinese imports tied to forced labor investigations, announced in early June, underscore ongoing bilateral friction. These factors, combined with the short timeline to June 30 and historical patterns of protracted negotiations, underpin trader consensus that a comprehensive tariff accord is unlikely by the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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