Recent diplomatic momentum centers on Pakistan-mediated talks following the 2026 Iran conflict and April ceasefire. As of mid-June, U.S. and Iranian negotiators have aligned on draft wording for a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease elements of the U.S. naval blockade and sanctions, and launch follow-on negotiations over Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile. President Trump has publicly stated a signing could occur imminently, while Iranian officials describe an agreement as closer than at any point in the process but note remaining details and leadership approvals. Discrepancies persist on implementation specifics, such as Hormuz management and sequencing of nuclear talks. Final signatures from both capitals and verification of terms would trigger market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$162,105 Vol.
1 ago 2026
15 de junio
28%
22 de junio
57%
30 de junio
66%
31 de julio
79%
$162,105 Vol.
15 de junio
$64,976 Vol.
28%
22 de junio
$17,951 Vol.
57%
30 de junio
$54,931 Vol.
66%
31 de julio
$26,019 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on Pakistan-mediated talks following the 2026 Iran conflict and April ceasefire. As of mid-June, U.S. and Iranian negotiators have aligned on draft wording for a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease elements of the U.S. naval blockade and sanctions, and launch follow-on negotiations over Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile. President Trump has publicly stated a signing could occur imminently, while Iranian officials describe an agreement as closer than at any point in the process but note remaining details and leadership approvals. Discrepancies persist on implementation specifics, such as Hormuz management and sequencing of nuclear talks. Final signatures from both capitals and verification of terms would trigger market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$162,105Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum centers on Pakistan-mediated talks following the 2026 Iran conflict and April ceasefire. As of mid-June, U.S. and Iranian negotiators have aligned on draft wording for a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease elements of the U.S. naval blockade and sanctions, and launch follow-on negotiations over Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile. President Trump has publicly stated a signing could occur imminently, while Iranian officials describe an agreement as closer than at any point in the process but note remaining details and leadership approvals. Discrepancies persist on implementation specifics, such as Hormuz management and sequencing of nuclear talks. Final signatures from both capitals and verification of terms would trigger market resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States signs any written agreement with the Islamic Republic of Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying agreement must be signed by both an authorized representative of the United States and an authorized representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Both parties must either sign the same document, or sign individual documents which substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying agreement, regardless of minor or translated differences between the signed versions.
Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$162,105Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 11, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum centers on Pakistan-mediated talks following the 2026 Iran conflict and April ceasefire. As of mid-June, U.S. and Iranian negotiators have aligned on draft wording for a memorandum of understanding that would extend the ceasefire by 60 days, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ease elements of the U.S. naval blockade and sanctions, and launch follow-on negotiations over Iran's nuclear program and enriched uranium stockpile. President Trump has publicly stated a signing could occur imminently, while Iranian officials describe an agreement as closer than at any point in the process but note remaining details and leadership approvals. Discrepancies persist on implementation specifics, such as Hormuz management and sequencing of nuclear talks. Final signatures from both capitals and verification of terms would trigger market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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