Republican nominee Chris Gober holds strong trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Texas's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's solid Republican lean with a Cook PVI of R+12 and historical margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles under retiring incumbent Michael McCaul. The March 3 primaries, which locked in Gober after his 51% primary victory over nine rivals and Democrat Caitlin Rourk's 61% win, have solidified the matchup without major shifts since; Gober's $2.2 million fundraising dwarfs Rourk's $244,000. Forecasters rate it Safe Republican, with no polling yet but national midterms and local turnout as key variables ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-10
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-10
$14,433 Vol.
$14,433 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Demócrata
17%
$14,433 Vol.
$14,433 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,772 Vol.
83%
Partido Demócrata
$8,661 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Chris Gober holds strong trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Texas's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's solid Republican lean with a Cook PVI of R+12 and historical margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles under retiring incumbent Michael McCaul. The March 3 primaries, which locked in Gober after his 51% primary victory over nine rivals and Democrat Caitlin Rourk's 61% win, have solidified the matchup without major shifts since; Gober's $2.2 million fundraising dwarfs Rourk's $244,000. Forecasters rate it Safe Republican, with no polling yet but national midterms and local turnout as key variables ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$14,433Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Chris Gober holds strong trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Texas's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's solid Republican lean with a Cook PVI of R+12 and historical margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles under retiring incumbent Michael McCaul. The March 3 primaries, which locked in Gober after his 51% primary victory over nine rivals and Democrat Caitlin Rourk's 61% win, have solidified the matchup without major shifts since; Gober's $2.2 million fundraising dwarfs Rourk's $244,000. Forecasters rate it Safe Republican, with no polling yet but national midterms and local turnout as key variables ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,433Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Chris Gober holds strong trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Texas's 10th Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's solid Republican lean with a Cook PVI of R+12 and historical margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles under retiring incumbent Michael McCaul. The March 3 primaries, which locked in Gober after his 51% primary victory over nine rivals and Democrat Caitlin Rourk's 61% win, have solidified the matchup without major shifts since; Gober's $2.2 million fundraising dwarfs Rourk's $244,000. Forecasters rate it Safe Republican, with no polling yet but national midterms and local turnout as key variables ahead of the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes