Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple surveys from late May and early June 2026 showing figures near 37–40 percent amid sustained economic dissatisfaction and public opposition to U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict. Traders see limited room for rapid movement before June 12 because weekly aggregates have stabilized after earlier declines tied to inflation perceptions, cost-of-living pressures, and majority views that the Middle East engagement was the wrong decision. Any near-term separation in the ranges would likely require fresh data releases or clear shifts in economic indicators within the narrow remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado38.5–38.9 31%
39.0–39.4 30%
38.0–38.4 20%
39.5–39.9 19%
<38.0
18%
38.0–38.4
20%
38.5–38.9
31%
39.0–39.4
30%
39.5–39.9
19%
40.0+
8%
38.5–38.9 31%
39.0–39.4 30%
38.0–38.4 20%
39.5–39.9 19%
<38.0
18%
38.0–38.4
20%
38.5–38.9
31%
39.0–39.4
30%
39.5–39.9
19%
40.0+
8%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple surveys from late May and early June 2026 showing figures near 37–40 percent amid sustained economic dissatisfaction and public opposition to U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict. Traders see limited room for rapid movement before June 12 because weekly aggregates have stabilized after earlier declines tied to inflation perceptions, cost-of-living pressures, and majority views that the Middle East engagement was the wrong decision. Any near-term separation in the ranges would likely require fresh data releases or clear shifts in economic indicators within the narrow remaining window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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