Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border remain elevated following the 2025 armed clashes, including Thai airstrikes, but a fragile ceasefire brokered late last year has held without major military actions in the past 30 days. Cambodia urged resumption of bilateral talks on disputed territories like Preah Vihear as recently as April 12, while Thailand expressed concerns on April 28 over Phnom Penh's international statements undermining de-escalation. Isolated incidents prompted Thai 24/7 border security deployments by late April, per official reports. International pressure from ASEAN and powers like China and the US favors diplomacy over escalation, though military build-ups and mutual accusations of violations sustain risks ahead of potential negotiations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tailandia golpea a Camboya con...?
¿Tailandia golpea a Camboya con...?
$66,697 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
8%
$66,697 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$22,284 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border remain elevated following the 2025 armed clashes, including Thai airstrikes, but a fragile ceasefire brokered late last year has held without major military actions in the past 30 days. Cambodia urged resumption of bilateral talks on disputed territories like Preah Vihear as recently as April 12, while Thailand expressed concerns on April 28 over Phnom Penh's international statements undermining de-escalation. Isolated incidents prompted Thai 24/7 border security deployments by late April, per official reports. International pressure from ASEAN and powers like China and the US favors diplomacy over escalation, though military build-ups and mutual accusations of violations sustain risks ahead of potential negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Mercado abierto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
Volumen
$66,697Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border remain elevated following the 2025 armed clashes, including Thai airstrikes, but a fragile ceasefire brokered late last year has held without major military actions in the past 30 days. Cambodia urged resumption of bilateral talks on disputed territories like Preah Vihear as recently as April 12, while Thailand expressed concerns on April 28 over Phnom Penh's international statements undermining de-escalation. Isolated incidents prompted Thai 24/7 border security deployments by late April, per official reports. International pressure from ASEAN and powers like China and the US favors diplomacy over escalation, though military build-ups and mutual accusations of violations sustain risks ahead of potential negotiations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Volumen
$66,697Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions along the Thailand-Cambodia border remain elevated following the 2025 armed clashes, including Thai airstrikes, but a fragile ceasefire brokered late last year has held without major military actions in the past 30 days. Cambodia urged resumption of bilateral talks on disputed territories like Preah Vihear as recently as April 12, while Thailand expressed concerns on April 28 over Phnom Penh's international statements undermining de-escalation. Isolated incidents prompted Thai 24/7 border security deployments by late April, per official reports. International pressure from ASEAN and powers like China and the US favors diplomacy over escalation, though military build-ups and mutual accusations of violations sustain risks ahead of potential negotiations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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