Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic dominance in gubernatorial races—no Republican victor since 2003—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner on November 3, 2026, despite an open GOP field with Aaron Guckian launching his bid and independent Ken Block's April announcement and internal poll showing modest viability against early Democratic matchups. Recent April polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey and others, highlight a fiercely contested Democratic primary on September 9, where former CVS executive Helena Foulkes leads unpopular incumbent Dan McKee by double digits amid low approval ratings tied to infrastructure issues like the Washington Bridge closure. While GOP consolidation or a nominee scandal could narrow odds, historical polling trends and base rates in this deep-blue state sustain the frontrunner's commanding position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDemócrata 93%
Republicano 4.4%
Independiente 2.7%
$49,735 Vol.
$49,735 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
93%
Republicano
4%
Independiente
3%
Demócrata 93%
Republicano 4.4%
Independiente 2.7%
$49,735 Vol.
$49,735 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$43,308 Vol.
93%
Republicano
$6,347 Vol.
4%
Independiente
$80 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic dominance in gubernatorial races—no Republican victor since 2003—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner on November 3, 2026, despite an open GOP field with Aaron Guckian launching his bid and independent Ken Block's April announcement and internal poll showing modest viability against early Democratic matchups. Recent April polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey and others, highlight a fiercely contested Democratic primary on September 9, where former CVS executive Helena Foulkes leads unpopular incumbent Dan McKee by double digits amid low approval ratings tied to infrastructure issues like the Washington Bridge closure. While GOP consolidation or a nominee scandal could narrow odds, historical polling trends and base rates in this deep-blue state sustain the frontrunner's commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volumen
$49,735Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic dominance in gubernatorial races—no Republican victor since 2003—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner on November 3, 2026, despite an open GOP field with Aaron Guckian launching his bid and independent Ken Block's April announcement and internal poll showing modest viability against early Democratic matchups. Recent April polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey and others, highlight a fiercely contested Democratic primary on September 9, where former CVS executive Helena Foulkes leads unpopular incumbent Dan McKee by double digits amid low approval ratings tied to infrastructure issues like the Washington Bridge closure. While GOP consolidation or a nominee scandal could narrow odds, historical polling trends and base rates in this deep-blue state sustain the frontrunner's commanding position.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$49,735Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic dominance in gubernatorial races—no Republican victor since 2003—anchors trader consensus at 92.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner on November 3, 2026, despite an open GOP field with Aaron Guckian launching his bid and independent Ken Block's April announcement and internal poll showing modest viability against early Democratic matchups. Recent April polls, including a University of New Hampshire survey and others, highlight a fiercely contested Democratic primary on September 9, where former CVS executive Helena Foulkes leads unpopular incumbent Dan McKee by double digits amid low approval ratings tied to infrastructure issues like the Washington Bridge closure. While GOP consolidation or a nominee scandal could narrow odds, historical polling trends and base rates in this deep-blue state sustain the frontrunner's commanding position.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes