Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Putin remaining President of Russia through June 30, reflecting his constitutional path to serve until 2030—bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting term limits—and firm control via the security apparatus, including recent FSB expansions. On April 27, Putin publicly affirmed the strength and stability of Russia's political system amid preparations for Duma and regional elections later in 2026, underscoring elite loyalty despite economic strains from the Ukraine conflict acknowledged earlier in April. High approval ratings and suppressed opposition reinforce this positioning, with no verified health issues, coup signals, or succession moves. Scenarios that could shift odds include a sudden health crisis, elite revolt over war costs, or abrupt Kremlin announcement, though structural barriers make these improbable absent major shocks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$1,421,572 Vol.
$1,421,572 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,421,572 Vol.
$1,421,572 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Putin remaining President of Russia through June 30, reflecting his constitutional path to serve until 2030—bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting term limits—and firm control via the security apparatus, including recent FSB expansions. On April 27, Putin publicly affirmed the strength and stability of Russia's political system amid preparations for Duma and regional elections later in 2026, underscoring elite loyalty despite economic strains from the Ukraine conflict acknowledged earlier in April. High approval ratings and suppressed opposition reinforce this positioning, with no verified health issues, coup signals, or succession moves. Scenarios that could shift odds include a sudden health crisis, elite revolt over war costs, or abrupt Kremlin announcement, though structural barriers make these improbable absent major shocks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
Volumen
$1,421,572Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Putin remaining President of Russia through June 30, reflecting his constitutional path to serve until 2030—bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting term limits—and firm control via the security apparatus, including recent FSB expansions. On April 27, Putin publicly affirmed the strength and stability of Russia's political system amid preparations for Duma and regional elections later in 2026, underscoring elite loyalty despite economic strains from the Ukraine conflict acknowledged earlier in April. High approval ratings and suppressed opposition reinforce this positioning, with no verified health issues, coup signals, or succession moves. Scenarios that could shift odds include a sudden health crisis, elite revolt over war costs, or abrupt Kremlin announcement, though structural barriers make these improbable absent major shocks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,421,572Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Putin remaining President of Russia through June 30, reflecting his constitutional path to serve until 2030—bolstered by 2020 amendments resetting term limits—and firm control via the security apparatus, including recent FSB expansions. On April 27, Putin publicly affirmed the strength and stability of Russia's political system amid preparations for Duma and regional elections later in 2026, underscoring elite loyalty despite economic strains from the Ukraine conflict acknowledged earlier in April. High approval ratings and suppressed opposition reinforce this positioning, with no verified health issues, coup signals, or succession moves. Scenarios that could shift odds include a sudden health crisis, elite revolt over war costs, or abrupt Kremlin announcement, though structural barriers make these improbable absent major shocks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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