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icon for ¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?

¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?

icon for ¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?

¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?

18% probabilidad
Polymarket

$11,835 Vol.

18% probabilidad
Polymarket

$11,835 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 83.5% on a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, reflecting martial law in place since 2022 that legally bars referendums and elections until a ceasefire ends the state of emergency. Despite February 2026 reports of Zelenskyy planning a spring presidential vote and peace referendum amid US pressure for talks, Ukraine's electoral commission ruled out 2026 polls without six months post-ceasefire stability, colliding with Washington timelines. April developments, including Zelenskyy's push for a Putin summit and German Chancellor Merz's suggestion of territorial concessions via referendum linked to EU accession (deemed unrealistic by 2027-2028), have yielded no breakthroughs as negotiations stall over occupied territories. A March KIIS poll showed 61% potential support for a concessions-inclusive deal if positively framed, but persistent military stalemate and procedural hurdles sustain skepticism.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$11,835
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 83.5% on a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, reflecting martial law in place since 2022 that legally bars referendums and elections until a ceasefire ends the state of emergency. Despite February 2026 reports of Zelenskyy planning a spring presidential vote and peace referendum amid US pressure for talks, Ukraine's electoral commission ruled out 2026 polls without six months post-ceasefire stability, colliding with Washington timelines. April developments, including Zelenskyy's push for a Putin summit and German Chancellor Merz's suggestion of territorial concessions via referendum linked to EU accession (deemed unrealistic by 2027-2028), have yielded no breakthroughs as negotiations stall over occupied territories. A March KIIS poll showed 61% potential support for a concessions-inclusive deal if positively framed, but persistent military stalemate and procedural hurdles sustain skepticism.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.

A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$11,835
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Se aprobará un referéndum de paz en Ucrania antes de 2027?" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 18¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?" ha generado $11.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 29, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?" es "¿Se aprobará un referéndum de paz en Ucrania antes de 2027?" con 18%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 18% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.