Trader consensus prices "No" at 83.5% on a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, reflecting martial law in place since 2022 that legally bars referendums and elections until a ceasefire ends the state of emergency. Despite February 2026 reports of Zelenskyy planning a spring presidential vote and peace referendum amid US pressure for talks, Ukraine's electoral commission ruled out 2026 polls without six months post-ceasefire stability, colliding with Washington timelines. April developments, including Zelenskyy's push for a Putin summit and German Chancellor Merz's suggestion of territorial concessions via referendum linked to EU accession (deemed unrealistic by 2027-2028), have yielded no breakthroughs as negotiations stall over occupied territories. A March KIIS poll showed 61% potential support for a concessions-inclusive deal if positively framed, but persistent military stalemate and procedural hurdles sustain skepticism.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?
¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?
Sí
$11,835 Vol.
$11,835 Vol.
Sí
$11,835 Vol.
$11,835 Vol.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 83.5% on a Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027, reflecting martial law in place since 2022 that legally bars referendums and elections until a ceasefire ends the state of emergency. Despite February 2026 reports of Zelenskyy planning a spring presidential vote and peace referendum amid US pressure for talks, Ukraine's electoral commission ruled out 2026 polls without six months post-ceasefire stability, colliding with Washington timelines. April developments, including Zelenskyy's push for a Putin summit and German Chancellor Merz's suggestion of territorial concessions via referendum linked to EU accession (deemed unrealistic by 2027-2028), have yielded no breakthroughs as negotiations stall over occupied territories. A March KIIS poll showed 61% potential support for a concessions-inclusive deal if positively framed, but persistent military stalemate and procedural hurdles sustain skepticism.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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