Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 95.5% "No" for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of credible internal dissent or plotting amid ongoing martial law and wartime unity under President Zelenskyy. Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) recently foiled Russian FSB-linked assassination schemes targeting Zelenskyy and officials, underscoring institutional loyalty and vigilance against subversion rather than domestic upheaval. No major fractures have emerged in military command or political elite since January 2026 cabinet reshuffles neutralized rivals and addressed corruption scandals. With elections suspended due to security risks, stability persists; realistic shifts would require sudden battlefield collapses, elite defections, or scandals eroding command cohesion before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
Sí
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 95.5% "No" for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of credible internal dissent or plotting amid ongoing martial law and wartime unity under President Zelenskyy. Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) recently foiled Russian FSB-linked assassination schemes targeting Zelenskyy and officials, underscoring institutional loyalty and vigilance against subversion rather than domestic upheaval. No major fractures have emerged in military command or political elite since January 2026 cabinet reshuffles neutralized rivals and addressed corruption scandals. With elections suspended due to security risks, stability persists; realistic shifts would require sudden battlefield collapses, elite defections, or scandals eroding command cohesion before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Volumen
$9,190Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 95.5% "No" for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of credible internal dissent or plotting amid ongoing martial law and wartime unity under President Zelenskyy. Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) recently foiled Russian FSB-linked assassination schemes targeting Zelenskyy and officials, underscoring institutional loyalty and vigilance against subversion rather than domestic upheaval. No major fractures have emerged in military command or political elite since January 2026 cabinet reshuffles neutralized rivals and addressed corruption scandals. With elections suspended due to security risks, stability persists; realistic shifts would require sudden battlefield collapses, elite defections, or scandals eroding command cohesion before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$9,190Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty at 95.5% "No" for a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of credible internal dissent or plotting amid ongoing martial law and wartime unity under President Zelenskyy. Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) recently foiled Russian FSB-linked assassination schemes targeting Zelenskyy and officials, underscoring institutional loyalty and vigilance against subversion rather than domestic upheaval. No major fractures have emerged in military command or political elite since January 2026 cabinet reshuffles neutralized rivals and addressed corruption scandals. With elections suspended due to security risks, stability persists; realistic shifts would require sudden battlefield collapses, elite defections, or scandals eroding command cohesion before the deadline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes