Recent wet conditions have positioned London near or slightly above its typical June rainfall total of roughly 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording over 50 mm by early June amid a changeable pattern of Atlantic low-pressure systems and showers. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 50-80 mm because model guidance shows competing influences: a building high-pressure ridge could suppress further rain in the latter half of the month, while lingering instability and possible frontal passages support additional accumulation. Ensemble forecasts diverge on exact totals depending on the strength and persistence of this ridge versus residual moisture from the jet stream, keeping the 50-60 mm, 60-70 mm, and 70-80 mm bins closely matched as traders weigh the balance between recent observed rainfall and the outlook for drier, more settled weather.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPrecipitation in London in June?
50-60mm 50%
80mm+ 24%
40-50mm 23%
30-40mm 12%
<30mm
4%
30-40mm
15%
40-50mm
23%
50-60mm
29%
60-70mm
27%
70-80mm
26%
80mm+
24%
50-60mm 50%
80mm+ 24%
40-50mm 23%
30-40mm 12%
<30mm
4%
30-40mm
15%
40-50mm
23%
50-60mm
29%
60-70mm
27%
70-80mm
26%
80mm+
24%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent wet conditions have positioned London near or slightly above its typical June rainfall total of roughly 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording over 50 mm by early June amid a changeable pattern of Atlantic low-pressure systems and showers. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 50-80 mm because model guidance shows competing influences: a building high-pressure ridge could suppress further rain in the latter half of the month, while lingering instability and possible frontal passages support additional accumulation. Ensemble forecasts diverge on exact totals depending on the strength and persistence of this ridge versus residual moisture from the jet stream, keeping the 50-60 mm, 60-70 mm, and 70-80 mm bins closely matched as traders weigh the balance between recent observed rainfall and the outlook for drier, more settled weather.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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