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Precipitation in London in June?

icon for Precipitation in London in June?

Precipitation in London in June?

jun 30

jun 30

50-60mm 50%

80mm+ 24%

40-50mm 23%

30-40mm 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

50-60mm 50%

80mm+ 24%

40-50mm 23%

30-40mm 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<30mm

$974 Vol.

4%

30-40mm

$41 Vol.

15%

40-50mm

$30 Vol.

23%

50-60mm

$40 Vol.

29%

60-70mm

$50 Vol.

27%

70-80mm

$102 Vol.

26%

80mm+

$61 Vol.

24%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent wet conditions have positioned London near or slightly above its typical June rainfall total of roughly 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording over 50 mm by early June amid a changeable pattern of Atlantic low-pressure systems and showers. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 50-80 mm because model guidance shows competing influences: a building high-pressure ridge could suppress further rain in the latter half of the month, while lingering instability and possible frontal passages support additional accumulation. Ensemble forecasts diverge on exact totals depending on the strength and persistence of this ridge versus residual moisture from the jet stream, keeping the 50-60 mm, 60-70 mm, and 70-80 mm bins closely matched as traders weigh the balance between recent observed rainfall and the outlook for drier, more settled weather.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,299
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent wet conditions have positioned London near or slightly above its typical June rainfall total of roughly 45-60 mm by mid-month, with Kew Gardens already recording over 50 mm by early June amid a changeable pattern of Atlantic low-pressure systems and showers. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 50-80 mm because model guidance shows competing influences: a building high-pressure ridge could suppress further rain in the latter half of the month, while lingering instability and possible frontal passages support additional accumulation. Ensemble forecasts diverge on exact totals depending on the strength and persistence of this ridge versus residual moisture from the jet stream, keeping the 50-60 mm, 60-70 mm, and 70-80 mm bins closely matched as traders weigh the balance between recent observed rainfall and the outlook for drier, more settled weather.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released.

If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,299
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 27, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in June, 2026, according to the Met Office. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for June 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of June 2026 is released. If the relevant data is not available by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Precipitation in London in June?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "50-60mm" con 28%, seguido de "60-70mm" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 28¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Precipitation in London in June?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el May 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Precipitation in London in June?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Precipitation in London in June?" es "50-60mm" con 28%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 28% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "60-70mm" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Precipitation in London in June?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.