Strong trader consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate through Week 23 reflects the 2025–2026 season’s trajectory, with FluSurv-NET data showing rates stabilizing near 87.4 per 100,000 by late May as influenza A activity declined sharply. Official CDC surveillance through Week 21 documented minimal new laboratory-confirmed admissions in recent weeks, consistent with typical off-season patterns and ensemble forecasts projecting only hundreds of additional cases nationally into mid-June. This positioning aligns with historical late-season slowdowns and the absence of late surges in model runs or sentinel data. Scenarios that could realistically shift the final figure outside 85–90 include substantial revisions to pending reports, unexpected localized outbreaks, or measurement adjustments in FluSurv-NET coverage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 93.8%
90–95 3.7%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 jun 2026
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
94%
90–95
4%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 93.8%
90–95 3.7%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 jun 2026
<80
$397 Vol.
1%
80–85
$397 Vol.
<1%
85–90
$3,036 Vol.
94%
90–95
$143 Vol.
4%
95–100
$245 Vol.
1%
100+
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Strong trader consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate through Week 23 reflects the 2025–2026 season’s trajectory, with FluSurv-NET data showing rates stabilizing near 87.4 per 100,000 by late May as influenza A activity declined sharply. Official CDC surveillance through Week 21 documented minimal new laboratory-confirmed admissions in recent weeks, consistent with typical off-season patterns and ensemble forecasts projecting only hundreds of additional cases nationally into mid-June. This positioning aligns with historical late-season slowdowns and the absence of late surges in model runs or sentinel data. Scenarios that could realistically shift the final figure outside 85–90 include substantial revisions to pending reports, unexpected localized outbreaks, or measurement adjustments in FluSurv-NET coverage.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volumen
$4,674Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Strong trader consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate through Week 23 reflects the 2025–2026 season’s trajectory, with FluSurv-NET data showing rates stabilizing near 87.4 per 100,000 by late May as influenza A activity declined sharply. Official CDC surveillance through Week 21 documented minimal new laboratory-confirmed admissions in recent weeks, consistent with typical off-season patterns and ensemble forecasts projecting only hundreds of additional cases nationally into mid-June. This positioning aligns with historical late-season slowdowns and the absence of late surges in model runs or sentinel data. Scenarios that could realistically shift the final figure outside 85–90 include substantial revisions to pending reports, unexpected localized outbreaks, or measurement adjustments in FluSurv-NET coverage.
This market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for the specified week.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volumen
$4,674Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around an 85–90 cumulative flu hospitalization rate through Week 23 reflects the 2025–2026 season’s trajectory, with FluSurv-NET data showing rates stabilizing near 87.4 per 100,000 by late May as influenza A activity declined sharply. Official CDC surveillance through Week 21 documented minimal new laboratory-confirmed admissions in recent weeks, consistent with typical off-season patterns and ensemble forecasts projecting only hundreds of additional cases nationally into mid-June. This positioning aligns with historical late-season slowdowns and the absence of late surges in model runs or sentinel data. Scenarios that could realistically shift the final figure outside 85–90 include substantial revisions to pending reports, unexpected localized outbreaks, or measurement adjustments in FluSurv-NET coverage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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