US national debt stands at $38.95 trillion as of late April 2026, approaching $39 trillion amid a projected $1.9 trillion fiscal year 2026 deficit per CBO estimates, driving trader consensus to price a 95% chance of peaking at or above that threshold before year-end. First-half FY2026 deficits hit $1.2 trillion, reflecting sustained spending outpacing revenues without major fiscal restraint, as debt rose $2.25 trillion year-over-year. Traders see moderate 41% odds for $40 trillion due to historical deficit trends and lack of spending cuts, though upcoming FY2027 budget negotiations and potential debt ceiling debates could accelerate or cap growth. No peaking indicators have emerged in recent Treasury data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Pico de la deuda nacional de EE. UU. antes de 2027?
¿Pico de la deuda nacional de EE. UU. antes de 2027?
$10,404 Vol.
31 dic 2026
40 billones de dólares
95%
41 billones de dólares
42%
$42 billones
8%
$10,404 Vol.
40 billones de dólares
$5,368 Vol.
95%
41 billones de dólares
$499 Vol.
42%
$42 billones
$4,537 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.US national debt stands at $38.95 trillion as of late April 2026, approaching $39 trillion amid a projected $1.9 trillion fiscal year 2026 deficit per CBO estimates, driving trader consensus to price a 95% chance of peaking at or above that threshold before year-end. First-half FY2026 deficits hit $1.2 trillion, reflecting sustained spending outpacing revenues without major fiscal restraint, as debt rose $2.25 trillion year-over-year. Traders see moderate 41% odds for $40 trillion due to historical deficit trends and lack of spending cuts, though upcoming FY2027 budget negotiations and potential debt ceiling debates could accelerate or cap growth. No peaking indicators have emerged in recent Treasury data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET
Volumen
$10,404Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.US national debt stands at $38.95 trillion as of late April 2026, approaching $39 trillion amid a projected $1.9 trillion fiscal year 2026 deficit per CBO estimates, driving trader consensus to price a 95% chance of peaking at or above that threshold before year-end. First-half FY2026 deficits hit $1.2 trillion, reflecting sustained spending outpacing revenues without major fiscal restraint, as debt rose $2.25 trillion year-over-year. Traders see moderate 41% odds for $40 trillion due to historical deficit trends and lack of spending cuts, though upcoming FY2027 budget negotiations and potential debt ceiling debates could accelerate or cap growth. No peaking indicators have emerged in recent Treasury data.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volumen
$10,404Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US national debt stands at $38.95 trillion as of late April 2026, approaching $39 trillion amid a projected $1.9 trillion fiscal year 2026 deficit per CBO estimates, driving trader consensus to price a 95% chance of peaking at or above that threshold before year-end. First-half FY2026 deficits hit $1.2 trillion, reflecting sustained spending outpacing revenues without major fiscal restraint, as debt rose $2.25 trillion year-over-year. Traders see moderate 41% odds for $40 trillion due to historical deficit trends and lack of spending cuts, though upcoming FY2027 budget negotiations and potential debt ceiling debates could accelerate or cap growth. No peaking indicators have emerged in recent Treasury data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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