Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17-17.5 million and 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint passenger totals for April 27-May 3, reflecting uncertainty after a soft start to the week. Official TSA data through April 29 shows 6.82 million travelers screened—Sunday's 2.54 million followed by lower Monday (2.02 million) and Tuesday (2.26 million) volumes, trailing the prior week's 17.2 million pace amid reports of year-over-year slippage. This keeps the race neck-and-neck, as bettors project a midweek rebound to 2.3-2.5 million daily and robust Friday-Saturday surges above 2.7 million each to hit 17+ million. Separation could emerge from Wednesday-Thursday throughput releases, weather impacts on weekend travel, or unexpected disruptions like air traffic delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado16.5-17m 55%
17-17.5m 41%
17.5-18m 32%
<16.5m 16%
<16.5m
16%
16.5-17m
55%
17-17.5m
41%
17.5-18m
32%
18-18.5m
1%
>18.5m
<1%
16.5-17m 55%
17-17.5m 41%
17.5-18m 32%
<16.5m 16%
<16.5m
16%
16.5-17m
55%
17-17.5m
41%
17.5-18m
32%
18-18.5m
1%
>18.5m
<1%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 24, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 27, 2026 to May 3, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17-17.5 million and 17.5-18 million TSA checkpoint passenger totals for April 27-May 3, reflecting uncertainty after a soft start to the week. Official TSA data through April 29 shows 6.82 million travelers screened—Sunday's 2.54 million followed by lower Monday (2.02 million) and Tuesday (2.26 million) volumes, trailing the prior week's 17.2 million pace amid reports of year-over-year slippage. This keeps the race neck-and-neck, as bettors project a midweek rebound to 2.3-2.5 million daily and robust Friday-Saturday surges above 2.7 million each to hit 17+ million. Separation could emerge from Wednesday-Thursday throughput releases, weather impacts on weekend travel, or unexpected disruptions like air traffic delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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