Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's commanding trader consensus at 92% implied probability for the North Dakota at-large House seat stems from her dominant 2024 victory margin of 39 points in this Solid Republican district per Cook Political Report ratings, bolstered by superior fundraising with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late March compared to primary challenger Alex Balazs's minimal $1,500. The North Dakota GOP's late-March endorsement of Balazs has not shifted sentiment amid the April 6 filing deadline confirming a low-drama primary on June 9, while Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer—defeated handily before—faces steep historical barriers in the deep-red state. Realistic challenges include a primary upset yielding a weakened Republican nominee, a major scandal, or an improbable national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de ND-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de ND-AL
$36,809 Vol.
$36,809 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
8%
$36,809 Vol.
$36,809 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$22,231 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$14,578 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's commanding trader consensus at 92% implied probability for the North Dakota at-large House seat stems from her dominant 2024 victory margin of 39 points in this Solid Republican district per Cook Political Report ratings, bolstered by superior fundraising with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late March compared to primary challenger Alex Balazs's minimal $1,500. The North Dakota GOP's late-March endorsement of Balazs has not shifted sentiment amid the April 6 filing deadline confirming a low-drama primary on June 9, while Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer—defeated handily before—faces steep historical barriers in the deep-red state. Realistic challenges include a primary upset yielding a weakened Republican nominee, a major scandal, or an improbable national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$36,809Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's commanding trader consensus at 92% implied probability for the North Dakota at-large House seat stems from her dominant 2024 victory margin of 39 points in this Solid Republican district per Cook Political Report ratings, bolstered by superior fundraising with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late March compared to primary challenger Alex Balazs's minimal $1,500. The North Dakota GOP's late-March endorsement of Balazs has not shifted sentiment amid the April 6 filing deadline confirming a low-drama primary on June 9, while Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer—defeated handily before—faces steep historical barriers in the deep-red state. Realistic challenges include a primary upset yielding a weakened Republican nominee, a major scandal, or an improbable national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,809Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Julie Fedorchak's commanding trader consensus at 92% implied probability for the North Dakota at-large House seat stems from her dominant 2024 victory margin of 39 points in this Solid Republican district per Cook Political Report ratings, bolstered by superior fundraising with over $1.1 million cash on hand as of late March compared to primary challenger Alex Balazs's minimal $1,500. The North Dakota GOP's late-March endorsement of Balazs has not shifted sentiment amid the April 6 filing deadline confirming a low-drama primary on June 9, while Democratic nominee Trygve Hammer—defeated handily before—faces steep historical barriers in the deep-red state. Realistic challenges include a primary upset yielding a weakened Republican nominee, a major scandal, or an improbable national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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