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Política·Elecciones Principales

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Política·Elecciones Principales

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 75%

Robert Kenyon 26%

Rebecca Shepherd 1.5%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$5,334,468 Vol.

Andy Burnham 75%

Robert Kenyon 26%

Rebecca Shepherd 1.5%

Simon Finkelstein <1%

Polymarket

$5,334,468 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$765,656 Vol.

75%

Robert Kenyon

$980,682 Vol.

26%

Rebecca Shepherd

$3,550,159 Vol.

2%

Simon Finkelstein

$7,802 Vol.

<1%

Maria Deery

$17,509 Vol.

<1%

John Skipworth

$7,531 Vol.

<1%

James Thomas Bryer

$9,147 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 was triggered by Labour MP Josh Simons’ May resignation to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy amid party leadership tensions. Burnham’s local roots, profile as a potential Keir Starmer challenger, and established Labour infrastructure position him as the frontrunner in trader pricing, though recent Opinium and other polls show only a narrow lead over Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon amid voter frustration over living costs, housing, flooding, and policing. Kenyon benefits from Reform’s strong 2024 showing in the seat and broader anti-establishment sentiment that has narrowed the historical Labour margin. Minor candidates including Rebecca Shepherd trail due to limited visibility and the first-past-the-post system favoring the two main contenders. The close contest and short campaign window keep probabilities fluid ahead of polling day.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$5,334,468
Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The Makerfield by-election on 18 June 2026 was triggered by Labour MP Josh Simons’ May resignation to enable Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham’s candidacy amid party leadership tensions. Burnham’s local roots, profile as a potential Keir Starmer challenger, and established Labour infrastructure position him as the frontrunner in trader pricing, though recent Opinium and other polls show only a narrow lead over Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon amid voter frustration over living costs, housing, flooding, and policing. Kenyon benefits from Reform’s strong 2024 showing in the seat and broader anti-establishment sentiment that has narrowed the historical Labour margin. Minor candidates including Rebecca Shepherd trail due to limited visibility and the first-past-the-post system favoring the two main contenders. The close contest and short campaign window keep probabilities fluid ahead of polling day.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volumen
$5,334,468
Fecha de finalización
18 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Makerfield by-election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Andy Burnham" con 75%, seguido de "Robert Kenyon" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 75¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Makerfield by-election Winner" ha generado $5.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 14, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Makerfield by-election Winner", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Makerfield by-election Winner" es "Andy Burnham" con 75%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 75% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Robert Kenyon" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Makerfield by-election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.