Nicolás Maduro faces multiple U.S. federal counts in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses, following his January 2026 capture and transfer from Venezuela. He and co-defendants entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, with subsequent March hearings addressing defense motions on counsel funding and procedural matters ahead of the next appearance on June 30. The case remains in pre-trial stages, with the narcoterrorism statute rarely tested at trial and some prior convictions under similar charges overturned on appeal. Complex evidentiary issues, witness credibility requirements, and multi-count structure create substantial barriers to conviction on every charge simultaneously, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% implied probability for "No."
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$104,497 Vol.
$104,497 Vol.
31 dic 2027
Sí
$104,497 Vol.
$104,497 Vol.
31 dic 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces multiple U.S. federal counts in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses, following his January 2026 capture and transfer from Venezuela. He and co-defendants entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, with subsequent March hearings addressing defense motions on counsel funding and procedural matters ahead of the next appearance on June 30. The case remains in pre-trial stages, with the narcoterrorism statute rarely tested at trial and some prior convictions under similar charges overturned on appeal. Complex evidentiary issues, witness credibility requirements, and multi-count structure create substantial barriers to conviction on every charge simultaneously, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volumen
$104,497Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro faces multiple U.S. federal counts in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses, following his January 2026 capture and transfer from Venezuela. He and co-defendants entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, with subsequent March hearings addressing defense motions on counsel funding and procedural matters ahead of the next appearance on June 30. The case remains in pre-trial stages, with the narcoterrorism statute rarely tested at trial and some prior convictions under similar charges overturned on appeal. Complex evidentiary issues, witness credibility requirements, and multi-count structure create substantial barriers to conviction on every charge simultaneously, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$104,497Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro faces multiple U.S. federal counts in the Southern District of New York, including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses, following his January 2026 capture and transfer from Venezuela. He and co-defendants entered not guilty pleas at arraignment, with subsequent March hearings addressing defense motions on counsel funding and procedural matters ahead of the next appearance on June 30. The case remains in pre-trial stages, with the narcoterrorism statute rarely tested at trial and some prior convictions under similar charges overturned on appeal. Complex evidentiary issues, witness credibility requirements, and multi-count structure create substantial barriers to conviction on every charge simultaneously, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% implied probability for "No."
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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