The Massachusetts 2nd district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 68.6% margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jim McGovern, first elected in 1997 and chair of the House Rules Committee, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026 contest and holds a substantial fundraising edge. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican general-election challenge remains limited, with past candidates such as Tracy Lovvorn failing to narrow the gap. Late developments including scandals, health issues, or an unexpectedly strong opponent could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$41,995 Vol.
$41,995 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$41,995 Vol.
$41,995 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$30,272 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$11,723 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 68.6% margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jim McGovern, first elected in 1997 and chair of the House Rules Committee, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026 contest and holds a substantial fundraising edge. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican general-election challenge remains limited, with past candidates such as Tracy Lovvorn failing to narrow the gap. Late developments including scandals, health issues, or an unexpectedly strong opponent could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$41,995Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 2nd district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 68.6% margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jim McGovern, first elected in 1997 and chair of the House Rules Committee, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026 contest and holds a substantial fundraising edge. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican general-election challenge remains limited, with past candidates such as Tracy Lovvorn failing to narrow the gap. Late developments including scandals, health issues, or an unexpectedly strong opponent could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,995Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 2nd district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 68.6% margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jim McGovern, first elected in 1997 and chair of the House Rules Committee, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the September 1, 2026 contest and holds a substantial fundraising edge. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican general-election challenge remains limited, with past candidates such as Tracy Lovvorn failing to narrow the gap. Late developments including scandals, health issues, or an unexpectedly strong opponent could theoretically alter dynamics, though the district's voting patterns and structural advantages make such shifts improbable before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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