Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Tokyo on June 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a daytime high near 27–28°C. This aligns with early-summer conditions as the Pacific high strengthens, moderating overnight radiational cooling while the tsuyu rainy season brings variable humidity and scattered showers that can suppress temperature drops. Historical June lows in Tokyo average near 19°C, but recent model runs favor slightly cooler readings due to lighter winds and clearer overnight periods. Trader consensus centers on 17–18°C because these values match the latest official guidance, with limited upside risk from warmer advection or downside from unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling. Updated JMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely anchor final resolution probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 16 de junio?
18°C 57%
17°C 33%
19°C 2.6%
16°C 2.3%
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
33%
18°C
57%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
18°C 57%
17°C 33%
19°C 2.6%
16°C 2.3%
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
33%
18°C
57%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate a minimum temperature of 16–17°C in Tokyo on June 16, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with a daytime high near 27–28°C. This aligns with early-summer conditions as the Pacific high strengthens, moderating overnight radiational cooling while the tsuyu rainy season brings variable humidity and scattered showers that can suppress temperature drops. Historical June lows in Tokyo average near 19°C, but recent model runs favor slightly cooler readings due to lighter winds and clearer overnight periods. Trader consensus centers on 17–18°C because these values match the latest official guidance, with limited upside risk from warmer advection or downside from unexpected clear skies enhancing cooling. Updated JMA briefings and refined model outputs over the next 48 hours will likely anchor final resolution probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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